Jupiler League Week 18 Saturday Previews

in #hive-1016908 days ago

These are previews from matches involving Belgian Teams with all the latest on team news, player form, and injuries along with my personal betting angles, ...

After a poor bet in the Champions League, I did manage to do better in the Europa and Conference league ending the mid-week with a small +0.162 unit profit. Not all too much action yesterday but also a small +0.103 unit profit on some corner bets so I'm slowly but surely grinding my way up. I'm looking forward to the 3 matches today and hope to have some more action.


Beerschot vs Standard

Standard remains a team that lacks quality and have to do with building a defense while putting in a lot of effort. Their coach is performing miracles and complained that he's unable to make subs as the quality drops even more which has cost them a lot of points. The 1-1 against OHL in the end was a fair result and Standard remains a team I'm mostly looking to oppose whenever they are the favorite. That is what they are today away against the team who is last. They have improved after a really poor start but still look like a relegation team. They on average got above 1.5xg against in the last 4 games while for Standard this was above 2 in their last 3 away games. At the same time, these teams are only at 1.05xg and 1.13xg created over the season. This was a bit higher when just looking at their last 5 with 1.22xg & 1.26xg. In that regard, a case could be made for an over bet even though generally the rule is to bet under in Standard. Beerschot at home over the season is 5W-2L-1P on the total closing line going over. Betting over in a match like this really feels like a contrarian bet so I want to watch things first. Standard had multiple matches this season where they totally got trashed on the corners away with 10-1 / 13-0 / 11-3 / 8-0 / 10-3 / 8-1 as 6 out of their 8 results. Beerschot only lost 2 of their last 6 corner matchups. I do expect Beerschot to be the team with most drive and willpower to go forward and Standard to more lure on the counter as only focusing on defense has been their recipe for success. So far I only took a 0.01 ETH crypto bet on Beerschot +0.5 Corners @ 1.700 over at dexsport.io and 36 USDC on Beerschot -1.5 Corners @ 2.800 over at Solcasino with an eye to possibly also take it with my regular stakes.


OHL vs Charleroi

Charleroi put up an excellent away performance last week away against Antwerp taking a deserved win in what was an overish match. It looks like they finally found a scoring striker with Stulic and overall atmosphere in the team is great also with Zorgane who is way too good for this team having found a great form. So I kind of expect them to continue on the good flow coming to Leuven with the intention to play forward and score goals. It's been 3 weeks now since OHL Fired Garcia but it's not that their performance all of a sudden is much better as they still mostly are taking draws. That was aside from the 5-0 win at home against Zulte-Waregem B-Squad in the cup. They have been an under team this season often best when playing organised on the counterbut at some point they actually will have to start winning matches. It would not come as a surprise to me if we would see a more open match and if Charleroi turned out to be the better team so I took bets yesterday evening on 0.2 units on Charleroi +0.25 @ 1.920, 0.1 unit on Charleroi Team Total Over 1 @ 2.00, 0.15 units on Over 2.25 @ 1.942, & 0.05 units on Over 3.5 @ 3.900 especially with the temptation to tame more on that last one. OHL has yet to have a match at home which went below 9 corners while Charleroi only went under once in their last 7.


Kortrijk vs Dender

These are teams that more or less can be compared when it comes down to quality and potential. Dender tends to be strong defensively and they actually have shown ok form lately only losing once in their last 4 matches. Kortrijk only managed to win once in their last 5 matches which was a surprise 3-1 against Mechelen where all of a sudden they had 100% scoring. They narrowly lost with a 3-2 score against a poor Genk last week and looked willing to go forward playing with high pressure. I expect a start from both teams today with high intensity and a lot of pressure and Kortrijk as the team more willing to take risk which kind of suits Dender. The lean I have is a 1st half Under 1 bet but the odds just are too low to actually take the risk. One of the main issues if Dender is to score with an average of just 0.77xg created in their last 8 matches. For Kortrijk this is only 1.05xg. Both however are quite high on average xg against. For this match I will just wait and see before taking anything. No Pre-Game Bets


Late info might change my view on what is written in these previews. I will cover these matches live in our SBC Discord Channel. I'm also sharing all my early pre-game bets there at the time that I am betting them myself.

I take all my Pre-Game & Live bets with my Betting Broker Sportmarket Pro who always provides the best offers on the market with a 1 click solution and doesn't limit winning players offering high limits. For more info check my Sportmarket Pro Review

I share many of my pre-game bets in all my preview posts as bold selections which are all counted as 1-unit flat bets. See these just as info and not as actual betting advice. If you do follow, make sure to shop around for the best odds. In the last 4 seasons, I had 710 of these bets good for +58.669 units Profit and +6.85% ROI. (Last Update 28/06/2024)

Season 2024-2025 Crypto Bets

DateBetStakeOddsResultBookie
14/12/2024Beerschot -1.5 CK36 USDC2.800TBDSolcasino.io
14/12/2024Beerschot +0.5 CK0.01 ETH1.770TBDDexsport.io
28/11/2024Porto 1H +0 CK41 USDC1.750-41 USDCSolcasino.io
28/11/2024Porto 1H -1.5 CK0.01 ETH3.35-0.01 ETHDexsport.io
02/11/2024Mechelen TT Over 10.05 ETH1.937+0.00 ETHSportbet.one
25/08/2024Club Brugge 1H -2.5 CK30 USDC3.450-30 USDCSolcasino.io
25/08/2024Club Brugge 1H -1.5 CK70 USDC2.140-70 USDCSolcasino.io
24/08/2024Westerlo 1H -0.5 CK170 USDC1.770+130.9 USDCSolcasino.io
17/08/2024Stvv TT U10.02 ETH2.290-0.02 ETHDexsport.io
17/08/2024Genk -0.50.1 ETH1.942+0.0942 ETHSportbet.one
17/08/2024Genk -0.50.1 ETH1.950+0.0950 ETHDexsport.io
09/08/2024AND vs OHL O 2.250.07 ETH1.801-0.035 ETHSportbet.one
09/08/2024STA TT U1.50.0208 ETH1.850+0.01768 ETHSportbet.one
08/08/2024SIL vs GNT O9.5 CK0.00818 ETH1.920-0.00818 ETHDexsport.io
04/08/2024Cercle +2.5 CK0.0086 ETH1.830-0.0086 ETHDexsport.io
20/07/2024Brugge +00.0551 ETH1.906-0.0551 ETHSportbet.one
20/07/2024Brugge Super Cup Win0.0189 ETH1.880-0.0189 ETHSportbet.one
20/07/2024Brugge +0.2540 USDC1.650-40 USDCSolcasino.io
20/07/2024Brugge +040 USDC1.890-40 USDCSolcasino.io
20/07/2024Brugge -0.2580 USDC2.210-80 USDCSolcasino.io
20/07/2024Brugge -0.580 USDC2.650-80 USDCSolcasino.io
20/07/2024Brugge Super Cup Win160 USDC1.650-160 USDCSolcasino.io

Crypto & Blockchain-Based Bookies and Exchanges that I'm personally using with some allowing anonymous betting with no KYC or personal restrictions...

Previous Crypto Bet Results & Record


YearBetsWonLostPushStakedProfit BTCROI
2023-202456252830.0469-0.0139-29.6%
2022-202376423130.1685+0.029687+17.62%
2021-202256272540.115+0.0166+14.45%
2020-202141210.0250-0.002845-11.38%
2019-202011000.0100+0.01271+127%
2018-201959242750.5900-0.02199-3.7%
2017-2018136656471.233+0.112687+9.14%
2016-201770343420.658+0.006912+1.05%
Total458219211252.8464+0.139861+4.91%

IMPORTANT !

Past results don't guarantee Future Results. There are very few people who are equipped financially and psychologically to handle the ups and downs of gambling on a daily basis. If you're not a professional, every instinct you have will attempt and probably will sabotage your success. Human nature runs completely contrary to being successful at gambling. These bets are posted as a way to help myself in order to stay disciplined, always hold yourself accountable if you end up following. Proper Bankroll Management can highly decrease the risk of heavy losses!

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