Jupiler League Week 18 Sunday Previews

in #hive-1016908 days ago

These are previews from matches involving Belgian Teams with all the latest on team news, player form, and injuries along with my personal betting angles, ...

Pretty frustrating Saturday as a Missed Penalty cost me 0.5 units in a match where Charleroi never deserved to lose and the +0.25 bet was the right choice. The good thing is that I'm still up on the week with 4 more matches to be played today...


Club Brugge vs Genk

This is a match between the 1st and 2nd position teams in the standings with currently a 4-point lead for Genk. Club Brugge has been on a roll lately generally having good form, especially at home. They took a deserved win in the Champions League against Sporting . Today will be their 7th match in about 3 weeks which might be something that weighs on them while for Genk it's only the 5th match in a similar timeframe as they don't play in Europe. Genk in the last 4 matches however has not really found their best form even though they only lost once away against Union. While I see Brugge as the team with better form and more quality, the fatigue factor makes it impossible for me to go with a -1 handicap. They only kept a clean sheet once in the 7 matches at home against Stvv so I see some value and took just 0.048 units on Brugge Win & Both To Score @ 3.100also because I would be surprised if it turned out into a boring defensive-minded match. Brugge is at 3.54xg and Genk at 3.77xg overall in their matches this season. This match should be more interesting for potential in-game bets based on how things go. Genk tends to be good on the corners way from home without a loss in the last 6 matches. So getting a +2 handicap feels like somewhat of a stretch since they aren't going to just lay back and lure on counters. I took 0.15 units also on Genk +2 corners @ 1.920 with an eye to possibly increase the position in case Brugge comes out dominant creating some early corners.


Union vs Westerlo

Union is in a similar situation as Club Brugge where they are playing their 7th match in 3 weeks while Westerlo is now playing their 5th. Union has picked up their form and also started to find the goal a bit easier even though their scoring problem I would say is not solved yet. This while they generally remain quite secure in the defense. Westerlo is not really a team I'm looking to back at the moment while the fatigue factor for Union makes it impossible to gamble on a heavy -1.5 line. If anything I would say it would not be that major of a surprise to see an outright away win and I think the odds on Westerlo are just way too high on that. I had to take 0.1 unit on Westerlo +0 @ 6.481


Stvv vs Anderlecht

So Anderlecht has been hit by a lot of injuries and they are also playing their 7th match in 3 weeks. With Verschaeren getting injured in the Europa League match who already replaced Stroeykens on that position I didn't hesitate to take 0.25 units on Sint-Truiden +0.5 @ 1.874 which by now came down to 1.666 on Pinnacle. However, it looks like Verschaeren will be able to play and both Sardella and Edozie might also be ready. This wile Bertaccini and Delpupo are suspended for stvv with Zahiroleslam still injured. Stvv played an excellent match at home in the derby against Genk where they deserved the win and they tend to be better at home on their artificial pitch compared to away. They did opt to defend in the home match against Genk and only really started playing after getting 0-1 behind. I did reduced 20% of my exposure by betting 0.05 units on Anderlecht -0.25 @ 1.997. Overall I'm not really sure at the moment where to go with this one but the fact that stvv hasn't lost a home game in a while with the possible fatigue factor kicking in for Anderlecht makes me still lean toward my original bet.


AA Gent vs Cercle Brugge

This is a match between 2 teams who possibly have the fatigue factor. AA Gent took an easy home win against Topola in Europe while Cercle took a nice 1-4 win away against Ljublijana. The travel factor plays against the visitors today. Cercle also either seem to have matches that go way over or stay very limited in chances and goals. What stands out most for AA Gent is that they give a lot of chances away with an average of 1.84xg against this season and 2.22xg in the last 3. I still see them as a team who have overperformed in results but it feels like they are getting to a point where ok results is starting to translate in a bit better performance. So I'm not really jumping to oppose them at home. Cercle still is in the bottom of the standings but I do expect them to go on a good run at some point and they currently seem to have a positive coach change effect. This said, the -0.25 line on AA Gent kind of is tempting me. The last 2 home Gent matches had 13 and 15 corners while he last 3 away cercle matches had 15 - 10 - 17 corners. So the over certainly will be in the back of my mind. For now I'm just waiting to see what the match will bring before possibly getting something in. No Pre-Game Bets


Late info might change my view on what is written in these previews. I will cover these matches live in our SBC Discord Channel. I'm also sharing all my early pre-game bets there at the time that I am betting them myself.

I take all my Pre-Game & Live bets with my Betting Broker Sportmarket Pro who always provides the best offers on the market with a 1 click solution and doesn't limit winning players offering high limits. For more info check my Sportmarket Pro Review

I share many of my pre-game bets in all my preview posts as bold selections which are all counted as 1-unit flat bets. See these just as info and not as actual betting advice. If you do follow, make sure to shop around for the best odds. In the last 4 seasons, I had 710 of these bets good for +58.669 units Profit and +6.85% ROI. (Last Update 28/06/2024)

Season 2024-2025 Crypto Bets

DateBetStakeOddsResultBookie
14/12/2024Beerschot -1.5 CK36 USDC2.800+64.8 USDCSolcasino.io
14/12/2024Beerschot +0.5 CK0.01 ETH1.770+0.0077 ETHDexsport.io
28/11/2024Porto 1H +0 CK41 USDC1.750-41 USDCSolcasino.io
28/11/2024Porto 1H -1.5 CK0.01 ETH3.35-0.01 ETHDexsport.io
02/11/2024Mechelen TT Over 10.05 ETH1.937+0.00 ETHSportbet.one
25/08/2024Club Brugge 1H -2.5 CK30 USDC3.450-30 USDCSolcasino.io
25/08/2024Club Brugge 1H -1.5 CK70 USDC2.140-70 USDCSolcasino.io
24/08/2024Westerlo 1H -0.5 CK170 USDC1.770+130.9 USDCSolcasino.io
17/08/2024Stvv TT U10.02 ETH2.290-0.02 ETHDexsport.io
17/08/2024Genk -0.50.1 ETH1.942+0.0942 ETHSportbet.one
17/08/2024Genk -0.50.1 ETH1.950+0.0950 ETHDexsport.io
09/08/2024AND vs OHL O 2.250.07 ETH1.801-0.035 ETHSportbet.one
09/08/2024STA TT U1.50.0208 ETH1.850+0.01768 ETHSportbet.one
08/08/2024SIL vs GNT O9.5 CK0.00818 ETH1.920-0.00818 ETHDexsport.io
04/08/2024Cercle +2.5 CK0.0086 ETH1.830-0.0086 ETHDexsport.io
20/07/2024Brugge +00.0551 ETH1.906-0.0551 ETHSportbet.one
20/07/2024Brugge Super Cup Win0.0189 ETH1.880-0.0189 ETHSportbet.one
20/07/2024Brugge +0.2540 USDC1.650-40 USDCSolcasino.io
20/07/2024Brugge +040 USDC1.890-40 USDCSolcasino.io
20/07/2024Brugge -0.2580 USDC2.210-80 USDCSolcasino.io
20/07/2024Brugge -0.580 USDC2.650-80 USDCSolcasino.io
20/07/2024Brugge Super Cup Win160 USDC1.650-160 USDCSolcasino.io

Crypto & Blockchain-Based Bookies and Exchanges that I'm personally using with some allowing anonymous betting with no KYC or personal restrictions...

Previous Crypto Bet Results & Record


YearBetsWonLostPushStakedProfit BTCROI
2023-202456252830.0469-0.0139-29.6%
2022-202376423130.1685+0.029687+17.62%
2021-202256272540.115+0.0166+14.45%
2020-202141210.0250-0.002845-11.38%
2019-202011000.0100+0.01271+127%
2018-201959242750.5900-0.02199-3.7%
2017-2018136656471.233+0.112687+9.14%
2016-201770343420.658+0.006912+1.05%
Total458219211252.8464+0.139861+4.91%

IMPORTANT !

Past results don't guarantee Future Results. There are very few people who are equipped financially and psychologically to handle the ups and downs of gambling on a daily basis. If you're not a professional, every instinct you have will attempt and probably will sabotage your success. Human nature runs completely contrary to being successful at gambling. These bets are posted as a way to help myself in order to stay disciplined, always hold yourself accountable if you end up following. Proper Bankroll Management can highly decrease the risk of heavy losses!

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