The Latin American Report # 439

in #hive-12231512 days ago

The migrants stranded in Mexico after Trump padlocked the doors to the United States are trying to make a place for themselves in Aztec soil, both working and seeking asylum before the competent authority. With the so-called American Dream on pause, it is Mexico or nothing for them right now, although some Venezuelans want to return home. The southern border city of Tapachula is employing some migrants under a Chiapas state program. At the same time, they complete their paperwork with the Mexican Commission for Refugee Assistance (COMAR in Spanish), which has been overwhelmed by the flood of individuals crowding its offices across the country daily in a push to regularize their status. The government lacks alternatives to the asylum for migrants though President Claudia Sheinbaum has promised "humanitarian assistance".

Until Trump´s disturbing return for a second term in the West Wing, most migrants would bypass COMAR and simply wait for their CBP One-powered appointment to present themselves at an official port of entry in the southwest U.S. border. Sound data is backing this claim. For example, more than 300,000 migrants passed through the Darién Gap in 2024, yet fewer than 79,000 applications for refugee status were filed in Mexico. And you don´t have in that figure concerning the Darién Gap stage those starting their journey in Nicaragua, like the Cubans. The Aztec authorities themselves acknowledge that between January and August of last year, they processed more than 925,000 people with an “irregular migratory situation”.

By the end of December 2024, 8 out of 10 resolved cases of applications for refugee status in Mexico were approved or received complementary protection. The latter withholds their removal on compelling life-threatening grounds. Incidentally, anyone whose application was denied could use that decision as a justification to rebut the presumption of ineligibility for asylum that hung over those entering into the United States as of May 2023, reinforced by the declaration of “emergency border circumstances” in June 2024. These were measures attached to Biden's effort to stem the crisis at the border, favoring those who availed themselves of certain “lawful pathways”—essentially the disbanded CBP One program—which the Republican/MAGA narrative never accepted as such.

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In the new context, Mexican authorities appear to have raised the bar for refugee status applicants on the understanding that most are seeking pure economic growth and therefore do not meet the specific requirements for refugee status. This, although Mexican law is much more open than U.S. in that it accepts as refugees those fleeing contexts marked by generalized violence, internal conflict, massive human rights violations “or other circumstances that have seriously disturbed public order”. This definition matches the conditions of many countries in Latin America, such as Haiti and Honduras, with the best approval rates for refugee status applications from their nationals (9 out of 10 are approved or obtain complementary protection).

Among those who are now availing themselves of the options provided by Tapachula is a Cuban presenting himself as a victim of sexual discrimination on the island, and who sees good in the opportunity he has to "collaborate" in cleaning and “beautification” of the referred city. “Because of my sexual orientation, in my country, we have no job opportunities, wherever we go the police harass us, they accuse us of prostitution if they see us dressed as women”, said the Cuban appealing to a well-elaborated narrative to defend a refugee case but which, in my opinion, distorts the Cuban reality somewhat. Despite what may be lacking in terms of recognition and assimilation, I do not believe that he will necessarily find less discrimination in Mexico because of his sexual orientation than he did in his homeland, where this is not a practice instituted by the State.

Las oficinas de Comar en Tapachula, Chiapas, se encuentran desbordadas. Migrantes llevan meses tramitando una tarjeta de residencia temporal. #EnPunto con @JLANoticias | #DecideInformado | Síguelo por https://t.co/JpgbIc5YLX pic.twitter.com/HSWeN9t2jj

— NMás (@nmas) January 31, 2025

But there are still migrants dreaming of the United States, such as a Salvadoran woman who is part of the umpteenth caravan leaving Tapachula, seeking to attract the attention of the authorities and speed up the regularization of its members in the country. “I go step by step, calmly, because I know that [this border closure situation] is going to pass. We are waiting for the 'tide to go out' because since I left my house, I said that [the United States] was the goal, but these problems arose and I hope to God that everything will pass and we are patient, we are not in a hurry,” the Salvadoran woman told EFE from the municipality of Zanatepec, Oaxaca state.

Another Salvadoran woman who left her three children in Nayib Bukele's kingdom with the promise of building them a house, criticized the management of the Zanatepec authorities, who gave them a space in the open to rest on Wednesday night, although with a makeshift tarp as a roof to protect them from the aggressive sun. By the way, are the cases of these two women telling us something about El Salvador? Embroiled in a broad anti-immigrant and anti-spending crusade, the Trump administration has not yet provided any concrete process so that at least from Mexican territory asylum cases can be filed as part of the reinstated “Remain in Mexico” policy.

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Latam via X

Latino workers working to overcome a technological divide brought on by automation, AI https://t.co/cpmqv35XzR

— The Independent (@Independent) February 9, 2025

Another road tragedy 👇.

Accident involving bus in southern Mexico killed 41, authorities say https://t.co/rww3cfM1re pic.twitter.com/H8KGQ6xmHu

— Reuters World (@ReutersWorld) February 9, 2025

The calm after a serious warning 👇.

A 7.6 magnitude earthquake shakes the Caribbean, some islands urge residents to leave coastlines https://t.co/OTamx29oD2

— The Globe and Mail (@globeandmail) February 9, 2025

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"Biden's effort to stem the crisis at the border..."

I submit this mischaracterizes the Biden administrations efforts at the border. Border Patrol agents have testified they were ordered to facilitate entry into the United States of utterly unvetted persons, completely contrary to their job descriptions and oaths of office. The Biden administration flew ~30k persons per month to secret locations in the USA, completely bypassing the border.

The Biden administration's actual intentions were to create the influx of people, that was the impetus for the refrain of scarcely believable claims of migrants up to the border of Mexico with the United States, the cause of the present overburden suffered by Mexico today. Mexico's lax regulation of immigration has depended on that laxity at it's border, and it's present insufficiency is revealed because it's no longer relieved by the hordes of immigrants flowing out of it's northern border. Now Mexico will have to craft regulations of actual substance because that insuperable horde ends up there, rather than somewhere else.

The present actual utility of the southern US border has put the burden of serving populations on their countries of origin, and their inadequacies are glaring the more because the USA doesn't presently provide a sink for their failures. The governments of the countries from which migrants flow have been put on blast because of it. That the US's government was so execrable that it enabled such inadequacies to be unattended to cannot any longer be used as cover for incompetence.

Note that this is not a claim the US has competent governance, but only that it's present governance is less incompetent than it used to be. That this puts pressure on Latam governments is telling about the incompetence of those governments. The dramatic sufferings of all populations of relevant governments well reveals the corruption they are affected by, and the fortunes of the corrupting corporations comprising the WEF all too blatantly reveal the purposes of the WEF to be designed to take advantage of that corruption to worsen the suffering of populations and increase the fortunes of those corporations by centralizing governance even further in a global technocratic totalitarian tyranny advanced by Larry Fink and Klaus Schwab, principals of the WEF.

Polities must either effect competent governance or abandon their populations to the tender mercies of pathological profiteers that slaver like rabid dogs at the prospect of financializing the hordes of the disaffected. The false claims of the myriad political personages that bamboozle their hapless peoples are at the root of the migration problem. Corruption and privilege of rent seeking scum deceiving people hoping for integrity in political rhetoric is the problem that must be resolved if the situations for the hundreds of millions of people in the Americas are not to become incalculably worse.

None demonstrate the truth of this more than the USA and Cuba, where the disparity between rich and poor demonstrates the financial rapine of their governors and the naivete of the governed.

Thanks!

Hello friend. I largely understand your argument here. However, when I was talking about the Biden administration's effort regarding the border crisis ---to some extent accomplished--- I am talking about the decrease in migrant encounters between ports of entry. U.S. Border Patrol's encounters last December were one-fifth of those recorded in December 2023. The dynamic of irregular migrants crossing the Rio Grande slowed down considerably, as Latin American nationals largely preferred to wait for a CBP One appointment than to venture through the river. As soon as the drums began to beat of a tightening of the immigration policy, the previous dynamic began to emerge again. For example, note here how the number of Venezuelan and Cuban migrants intercepted by the Border Patrol rose considerably by more than 100% between November and December last year. Those same migrants would be in Mexico City trying to obtain their CBP One-powered appointment right now.

I understand that these are largely unvetted migrants, who do not qualify for political asylum, as most are people seeking pure economic growth or simply fleeing the devastating regional context. I know the U.S. is under no moral or legal obligation to take care of that, but a comprehensive solution can be thought of to receive an orderly inbound flow of properly vetted migrants who are looking to work, provide some value to the U.S. economy, and help their families back home. Regarding the figure of 30,000 migrants taken to “secret locations”, I understand that it refers to the disputed humanitarian parole program that enabled the monthly entry of that number of migrants from Cuba, Venezuela, Haiti, and Nicaragua.

I know that there were many irregularities concerning the sponsors, a lot of fraud, and that in general the entry of unvetted migrants was also being favored here without them having solid potential asylum cases to defend. But as a relative of many of the Cubans who used this "legal" pathway, I can say that in many of the cases, if not all, the U.S. government has full knowledge of the place where they are settled, or of the sponsors by which their entry into the United States was endorsed. I do not believe that the majority of those who entered by this route are criminals, although again there is surely a lot to be corrected in terms of properly vetting migrants.

 Thanks again for your sound feedback here.

"...the U.S. is under no moral or legal obligation..."

I wish I could agree, but you better than anyone know that the US government is very much responsible for those tragic circumstances that put populations in dire need.

“...secret locations...”

The US has refused to divulge who, and where these people arrived, to it's masters, the American people. Little better shows the corruption and criminal intent of the USG than these particulars. Rather, government is merely a convenient abbreviation for the individual persons that undertook these crimes personally. Government is incessantly revealed as a criminal conspiracy.

None of these policies arose of incompetence. Corruption, rent seeking, profiteering, financializing desperation, woe, and murderous deprivation, is the policy of criminals weaponizing government to profit themselves, and why Sir John Glubb's seminal published research is true across ages. Government is a crime against humanity, ever duplicitous, incessantly deceptive and inherently corrupted by design of the malicious masters of Machiavellian manipulation of mankind.

Today we approach a watershed of accountancy, of responsibility for reprobation that is ineluctably effected by the laws of physics disproving every fallacious aphorism supportive of necessary evil.

There is no such thing as necessary evil. There is always a good option, even if it is pitchforks and torches. Sadly, but none of us is immune to this stark truth: "...all experience hath shewn, that mankind are more disposed to suffer, while evils are sufferable, than to right themselves by abolishing the forms to which they are accustomed."

--https://www.archives.gov/founding-docs/declaration-transcript

Men live but 3 score and ten years, and if we can delay accounting for our cowardice for but a few years of ease and guilty conscience, we can senesce in such comfort as the burdens we place upon our posterity leave us. Only from desperation evinced by a stampeding herd of cattle can we mount ramparts and establish our sovereignty, and that by eschewing it. We are a ridiculous parody of humanity, and none more than I.

I count us fortunate that the laws of physics must command our feckless hearts by determining the economic means of our households, and this obdurate principle cannot forever be disregarded, disdained, and disrespected, but like a pimple swollen on the nose of the vain, will weep comeuppance upon our vanity and force us to view the ugly reality, today sooner than later. I reckon justice an objective principle of physics, no less than the speed of light and gravity, merely relegated to subjective expression by our ignorance, even nescience, of it's quantifiability and testability of it's metrics by means potential of scientific specification comparable to mass and energy.

Unfortunately, such proofs will not come from books, but from blood, sweat, and tears.

I truly learn from each of your contributions here, but today I want to highlight the breadth of your English, which introduces me to words entirely unfamiliar to me. I regularly read English without needing to consult a dictionary—except when reading your work. Regarding the point you raise here, I firmly believe that we—people everywhere—are entitled to the full accountability that is being so blatantly denied to us. I admire the energy and passion you put into addressing this global issue. Best regards from the Island.

I apologize for my excessive verbosity, but, as you point out, I am impassioned by a stream of consciousness, and clearly get carried away by my understanding and it's damning consequences.

I mistakenly upvoted myself, and have endeavored to correct the error. My apologies.