21% Annual Recurring Revenue = $3M per Bitcoin by 2045

in #bitcoin4 months ago

A few days ago I published a post regarding VanEck's predictions about what the price of BITCOIN will be when I become a grandfather.
I thought they had lost their minds, but my surprise was to see this presentation by Mr. Saylor regarding his prediction of the price of Bitcoin for 2045:

  • The price for the BULL scenario is $49M (versus VanEck's $52M)
  • The price for the Base scenario is $13M versus VanEck's $3M.
  • The price in the Worst case is $3M versus VanEck's $130,000

As you can see, the two predictions more or less coincide in the bullish projection, however, both in the Base and the bearish projection there are grotesque differences.

However, as you can see in the image, Saylor seems to have a good guess regarding the "bearish" price and that is that I don't see anything far-fetched about BITCOIN reaching 2% of the total world market (currently it only accumulates 0.1%)... supporting this guess, I don't see it as strange at all to reach that value, let's remember that we are talking about $3M by 2045, and this would be achieved simply if BITCOIN manages to revalue itself by 21% on average annually, which, honestly, seems quite low IMO.

What do you think?

@toofasteddie

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It's tough to predict prices so far out but I think the increases will drop over time as the market cap gets larger. I think 21% annually when it's smaller isn't as tough so it just depends on how things play out.

I also saw these numbers and imo $3 Mio will be reached earlier than 2045, resp. I don’t think we will see the bearish scenario. In my view were will cross the $1 Mio price within a decade from now the latest.
2045 is far away but I can imagine a price of about 10-15 Mio USD until then.

This is crypto and anything can happen in the future and we know this man is working very hard and will be crypto is a great investor.