Belgian Super Cup 2024 Preview

in #hive-1016902 months ago


These are previews from matches involving Belgian Teams with all the latest on team news, player form, injuries along with my personal betting angles, ...

The New Belgian Season unofficially starts today with the Super Cup and I have also been watching some of the friendly matches. There will be multiple of those today and maybe I also get some bets in on those. I already had some pre-game bets on this match today mainly using Crypto books as their lines were too soft before asian released their odds. (Link)


Club Brugge vs Union SG

I took a bunch of bets early on Club Brugge under the premise that the home team traditionally wins the Super Cup (18W-0L in last 19 Years!) with the visitors seeing it more as a glorified practice match. Club Brugge also is the team with overall more quality while Union once again had to take a new coach while seeing multiple key players leave. Based on all this, it made no sense whatsoever for Union to be nearly the favorite in this match and I didn't hold back placing bets on crypto bookies with a stake adding up to 650$+ as I wasn't able yet to take it on the asian bookies. When the line there was released, the odds were a bit lower and I managed to take 0.2 units on Club Brugge +0 @ 1.776. All of these were shared on the SBC Discord as always. The odds currently are a lot lower compared to what I managed to get with pinnacle down to 1.52 odds for the Brugge +0 Line. However, Club Brugge got hit harder by injuries and missing players compared to what I anticipated. Sabbe, Meijer and De Cuyper are out which makes them having to play with backup wingback players Et-Taibi & Seys which isn't optimal. Ondrejka and Zinckernagel also are injured while Skov Olson, Skoras, Ordoniez also aren't there yet. This leaves them with a less than full A-Squad but still plenty of quality with Mignolet, Mechele, Vetlesen, Vanaken, Jutgla, and some new guys that look to have quality. Their latest practice match was also easily won with 3-0 against Norwich mainly because the goals went in really easily for them early on. Union on the other hand didn't lose as many players as I anticipated yet so far only really losing their attacking line with Nilsson (who went to Club Brugge) and Amoura. They still have Puertas who is key and Machida who I anticipated to no longer be with them by now. In their last practice match, they also showed good fighting power against Sporting CP despite having a hard time at the start getting behind 2-0 to still end the game with a 2-2 score. Union also lost the title to Club Brugge and it looks like they are really motivated for this match online most away teams in the supercup in the past. So based on the current odds, I have excellent positions on Club Brugge but I don't nearly feel as confident as I was some weeks ago. For now, I'm just keeping what I have and will ride the variance instead of hedging and taking a bit of guaranteed profit.

Late info might change my view on what is written in these previews. I will cover these matches live in our SBC Discord Channel. I'm also sharing all my early pre-game bets there at the time that I am betting them myself.

I take all my Pre-Game & Live bets with my Betting Broker Sportmarket Pro who always provides the best offers on the market with a 1 click solution and doesn't limit winning players offering high limits. For more info check my Sportmarket Pro Review

I share many of my pre-game bets in all my preview posts as bold selections which are all counted as 1-unit flat bets. See these just as info and not as actual betting advice. If you do follow, make sure to shop around for the best odds. In the last 4 seasons, I had 710 of these bets good for ++58.669 units Profit and +6.85% ROI. (Last Update 28/06/2024)

Season 2024-2025 Crypto Bets

DateBetStakeOddsResultBookie
20/07/2024Brugge +00.0551 ETH1.906TBDSportbet.one
20/07/2024Brugge Super Cup Win0.0189 ETH1.880TBDSportbet.one
20/07/2024Brugge +0.2540 USDC1.650TBDSolcasino.io
20/07/2024Brugge +040 USDC1.890TBDSolcasino.io
20/07/2024Brugge -0.2580 USDC2.210TBDSolcasino.io
20/07/2024Brugge -0.580 USDC2.650TBDSolcasino.io
20/07/2024Brugge Super Cup Win160 USDC1.650TBDSolcasino.io

Crypto & Blockchain-Based Bookies and Exchanges that I'm personally using with some allowing anonymous betting with no KYC or personal restrictions...

Previous Crypto Bet Results & Record


YearBetsWonLostPushStakedProfit BTCROI
2023-202456252830.0469-0.0139-29.6%
2022-202376423130.1685+0.029687+17.62%
2021-202256272540.115+0.0166+14.45%
2020-202141210.0250-0.002845-11.38%
2019-202011000.0100+0.01271+127%
2018-201959242750.5900-0.02199-3.7%
2017-2018136656471.233+0.112687+9.14%
2016-201770343420.658+0.006912+1.05%
Total458219211252.8464+0.139861+4.91%

IMPORTANT !

Past results don't guarantee Future Results. There are very few people that are equipped financially and psychologically to handle the ups and downs of gambling on a daily basis. If you're not a professional, every instinct you have will attempt and probably will sabotage your success. Human nature runs completely contrary to being successful at gambling. These bets are posted as a way to help myself in order to stay disciplined, always hold yourself accountable if you end up following. Proper Bankroll Management can highly decrease the risk of heavy losses!

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That's a bet I would have never dared to make. Though I'll admit that Bruges is the team that Union seems to struggle with the most, however Union is the team that seems to defy all logic.

  • They seem to peak at the start and mid of the season, it's mostly in the playoffs that the physical and mental fatigue seem to hit in. While the other top teams, including Bruges, seem to prefer to pace themselves to they have juice left for the playoffs
  • Further Union have an interesting scouting mechanism that seem to focus a lot on data and mental strength. Every player that they attract is the type of player that keeps running even when frustrated rather than start complaining etc. Further do they prefer transfers of sure things rather than speculating on a players potential and hope to flip him for a good profit:

"Er zit een héél duidelijk idee achter die strategie. "Dat idee is simpel: we willen meteen goed zijn. De transfermarkt is niet dom, hé. Wil je als club een 19-jarige speler halen die zich al bewezen heeft en later voor veel geld kan verkocht worden? Dan moet je ook meteen meer geld ophoesten."

"Bovendien mag je bij zo'n transfers niet verwachten dat je aan de leiding zal staan of zal meespelen voor de prijzen", besluit Muzio. "Het risico op mindere prestaties ligt hoger. Het is nu eenmaal moeilijker om in te schatten hoe zo'n jonge speler zal presteren. De data van een 25-jarige speler zijn accurater en betrouwbaarder."

Source: https://www.voetbalkrant.com/nieuws/2024-03-18/is-het-echt-zo-simpel-union-eigenaar-legt-heel-transparant-en-duidelijk-de-filosofie-achter-succestransfers-van-zijn-club-bloot

  • Tony Bloom is minority owner of the club (had to sell his majority because of the conflict that he can't own 2 teams in the same competition: Brighton & Hove Albion and Union wouldn't be able to both play European). So betting on a loss of Union is betting against one of the most successful sports betters in the world.

It was worth the gamble, if only because Bruges historically have the least problems with Union, but it was definitely a gamble that isn't meant for the faint of heart

Also... I feel that Anderlecht will win the league 😎 (100% biased opinion)
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