Jupiler League Week 12 Saturday Previews

in #hive-10169027 days ago


These are previews from matches involving Belgian Teams with all the latest on team news, player form, and injuries along with my personal betting angles, ...

Betting right now is quite hard both because lines tend to be really sharp and the fact that I keep getting stuck on the wrong side of variance at the moment. So my overall approach is to keep a low profile and limit my stakes until with the hope for things to change. So far I'm down around -0.3 units on the week after 5 matches so overall the damage is limited and there are 7 more matches to be played.


Charleroi vs OH Leuven

Charleroi has a decent team and they started the season with a good streak and positive momentum which recently died down a bit. They are now 4 matches without a win (2 draws vs Anderlecht & Brugge while losing against Dender & Standard). Their big problem seems to be creating chances against an opponent who doesn't give space away and the opponent today is exactly such a team. Charleroi has been better at home going 4W-1L against the asian handicap so home advantage certainly is a thing. At the same time they went 0.5W-4L-0.5P on their home over line. OHL is also a team I would rate close to the quality of Charleroi but they are also in a streak of bad results with 3 losses and 2 draws in their last 5. Last week however, they gained some confidence coming back from 0-1 to a draw at home against Antwerp. Maertens is injured for OHL but there are many players potentially to replace him and Goalkeeper Koné is injured for Charleroi along with Guiagon but Defourny should be an ok replacement in goal. My lean was on 1H under 1 goals but I waited too long and missed my entry as odds went down. I did take a very cautious 0.1 unit bet on OH Leuven +0.25 @ 2.070 as they are a team that I generally want to back as the underdog. OHL is 10W-1L on the over in corners even though it never really feels like they are pushing and creating corners as a result of it so I'm not willing to chase that.


Dender vs Kv Mechelen

Mechelen based on the personal ratings I give each team on their performance now over the past 3 weeks ranks #1 for me. They are coming of 2 solid home matches against Kortrijk and OHL (3-0 & 5-0) while they lost undeserved away against Genk (2-1) and the away match before also undeserved against AA Gent (2-0). Dender started the season great and are still an ok home team that brings good enthusiasm and pressing. This brought a fun match at home against Anderlecht which ended in a 1-1 score (1.61-1.46xg), they also won 1-0 against Charleroi at home (0.5-1.06xg) as the visitors were unable to break their defense. Last week away they against showed that hey have a good defense playing 0-0 while creating next to nothing themselves. Mechelen so far is 5W-0L on the under away so with Dender as a team who tends to have a good defense I don't expect a goalfest today. I'm taking my chance on the visitors based on what they showed in the previous matches. 0.4 units on Kv Mechelen +0 @ 1.990. I also took cautious 0.1 unit bets on 1H under 1 @ 2.075 & Under 2.5 @ 1.980. This along with 0.1 unit on Mechelen +0.5 corners @ 1.920


Sint-Truiden vs Westerlo

Sint-Truiden after Mazzu took over actually became a better team which seems to be under the radar as they failed to win their last 3 matches. Against Genk they took an early red card which screwed them while they looked ok both before and after. However, key offensive player Brahimi is suspended today which likely will have an impact. Agaings Gent away they took a more than deserved 1-1. So stvv certainly has become a team on my radar. Westerlo their main problem has been not getting goals against as their goalkeeper keeps making big mistakes each match while the young defense has talent but needs to work together better. They also are without Bayram who is suspended and they have a problem on the right wing position with both Reynolds and Bos injured. Mazzu is known as a defensive coach but their xg both for an against in the last 3 matches was pretty high. I expect Westerlo to put a bit moe focus on defense and brahini out also reduces the offensive quality of Stvv. I took cautious 0.1 unit bets on stvv +0 @ 1.890 and 1H under 1.25 @ 1.833


Late info might change my view on what is written in these previews. I will cover these matches live in our SBC Discord Channel. I'm also sharing all my early pre-game bets there at the time that I am betting them myself.

I take all my Pre-Game & Live bets with my Betting Broker Sportmarket Pro who always provides the best offers on the market with a 1 click solution and doesn't limit winning players offering high limits. For more info check my Sportmarket Pro Review

I share many of my pre-game bets in all my preview posts as bold selections which are all counted as 1-unit flat bets. See these just as info and not as actual betting advice. If you do follow, make sure to shop around for the best odds. In the last 4 seasons, I had 710 of these bets good for +58.669 units Profit and +6.85% ROI. (Last Update 28/06/2024)

Season 2024-2025 Crypto Bets

DateBetStakeOddsResultBookie
25/08/2024Club Brugge 1H -2.5 CK30 USDC3.450-30 USDCSolcasino.io
25/08/2024Club Brugge 1H -1.5 CK70 USDC2.140-70 USDCSolcasino.io
24/08/2024Westerlo 1H -0.5 CK170 USDC1.770+130.9 USDCSolcasino.io
17/08/2024Stvv TT U10.02 ETH2.290-0.02 ETHDexsport.io
17/08/2024Genk -0.50.1 ETH1.942+0.0942 ETHSportbet.one
17/08/2024Genk -0.50.1 ETH1.950+0.0950 ETHDexsport.io
09/08/2024AND vs OHL O 2.250.07 ETH1.801-0.035 ETHSportbet.one
09/08/2024STA TT U1.50.0208 ETH1.850+0.01768 ETHSportbet.one
08/08/2024SIL vs GNT O9.5 CK0.00818 ETH1.920-0.00818 ETHDexsport.io
04/08/2024Cercle +2.5 CK0.0086 ETH1.830-0.0086 ETHDexsport.io
20/07/2024Brugge +00.0551 ETH1.906-0.0551 ETHSportbet.one
20/07/2024Brugge Super Cup Win0.0189 ETH1.880-0.0189 ETHSportbet.one
20/07/2024Brugge +0.2540 USDC1.650-40 USDCSolcasino.io
20/07/2024Brugge +040 USDC1.890-40 USDCSolcasino.io
20/07/2024Brugge -0.2580 USDC2.210-80 USDCSolcasino.io
20/07/2024Brugge -0.580 USDC2.650-80 USDCSolcasino.io
20/07/2024Brugge Super Cup Win160 USDC1.650-160 USDCSolcasino.io

Crypto & Blockchain-Based Bookies and Exchanges that I'm personally using with some allowing anonymous betting with no KYC or personal restrictions...

Previous Crypto Bet Results & Record


YearBetsWonLostPushStakedProfit BTCROI
2023-202456252830.0469-0.0139-29.6%
2022-202376423130.1685+0.029687+17.62%
2021-202256272540.115+0.0166+14.45%
2020-202141210.0250-0.002845-11.38%
2019-202011000.0100+0.01271+127%
2018-201959242750.5900-0.02199-3.7%
2017-2018136656471.233+0.112687+9.14%
2016-201770343420.658+0.006912+1.05%
Total458219211252.8464+0.139861+4.91%

IMPORTANT !

Past results don't guarantee Future Results. There are very few people who are equipped financially and psychologically to handle the ups and downs of gambling on a daily basis. If you're not a professional, every instinct you have will attempt and probably will sabotage your success. Human nature runs completely contrary to being successful at gambling. These bets are posted as a way to help myself in order to stay disciplined, always hold yourself accountable if you end up following. Proper Bankroll Management can highly decrease the risk of heavy losses!

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