In March 2021, there was a virtual exercise regarding monkeypox pandemic

in #hive-1223152 years ago

An organization called the Nuclear Threat Initiative(NTI), partnered with the Munich Security Conference, conducted a tabletop exercise in March 2021:

Strengthening Global Systems to Prevent and Respond to High-Consequence Biological Threats - NTI

In March 2021, NTI partnered with the Munich Security Conference to conduct a tabletop exercise on reducing high-consequence biological threats. The exercise examined gaps in national and international biosecurity and pandemic preparedness architectures - exploring opportunities to improve prevention and response capabilities for high-consequence biological events.

More interesting part is the exercise summary:

Developed in consultation with technical and policy experts, the fictional exercise scenario portrayed a deadly, global pandemic involving an unusual strain of monkeypox virus that first emerged in the fictional nation of Brinia and spread globally over 18 months. Ultimately, the exercise scenario revealed that the initial outbreak was caused by a terrorist attack using a pathogen engineered in a laboratory with inadequate biosafety and biosecurity provisions and weak oversight. By the end of the exercise, the fictional pandemic resulted in more than three billion cases and 270 million fatalities worldwide.

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You can download NTI's full report published in November 2011 from the link below:

https://www.nti.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/NTI_Paper_BIO-TTX_Final.pdf

In March last year, these people were doing a tabletop simulation of monkeypox pandemic. And now, we have this:

Monkeypox: 80 cases confirmed in 12 countries - BBC News

More than 80 cases of monkeypox have been confirmed in at least 12 countries.

The World Health Organization has said another 50 suspected cases are being investigated - without naming any countries - and warned that more cases are likely to be reported.

Infections have been confirmed in nine European countries, as well as the US, Canada and Australia.

Monkeypox is most common in remote parts of Central and West Africa.
...
It is not yet clear why this unusual outbreak is happening now.

One possibility is that the virus has changed in some way, although currently there is little evidence to suggest this is a new variant.

Another explanation is that the virus has found itself in the right place at the right time to thrive.

Monkeypox may also spread more easily than it did in the past, when the smallpox vaccine was widely used.
...

This reminds me of Event 201, hosted by Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security in October 2019:

The Event 201 Scenario

Event 201 simulates an outbreak of a novel zoonotic coronavirus transmitted from bats to pigs to people that eventually becomes efficiently transmissible from person to person, leading to a severe pandemic. The pathogen and the disease it causes are modeled largely on SARS, but it is more transmissible in the community setting by people with mild symptoms.
...

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Right before COVID-19 outbreak, a handful of people had a tabletop exercise on coronavirus pandemic. Right before monkeypox outbreak, another handful of people had a similar exercise on monkeypox pandemic. Global pandemic prediction is not a mature science like local weather forecast. How do they do this? I don't know if global pandemic is scientifically predicted or artificially engineered. I hope the former is true.