Is it a bad idea to buy Bitcoin at $100K?

in #hive-146620yesterday

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There are people we refer to as noobs or normies, and they are particularly visible during each cycle, attempting to make their mark. Personally, I believe it should take about two cycles for a person to be "de-noobed," i.e. no longer a newbie.

They will not become pros, but they will have a better understanding of how things work. It is a common belief that we will always have newcomers, which is because the crypto bull market alone attracts over 50% of people, and these people occasionally become liquidity exits, which is how it is.

However, I believe that newbies would want to find ways to become wiser and probably try to understand the market rather than making stupid mistakes, such as those they may have made in the previous cycle.

As a result of these resolutions, they may make decisions based on fear and logic, such as not buying BTC above 100k because most Twitter analysts believe the BTC will not exceed 110k or that the bull market is over.

100K Is Psychological

100k is a psychological price for BTC, and it is monumental; it is going from 5 figures to 6 figures, which has never happened in the history of crypto, and many people are taking advantage of this to profit.

Unless you're a whale, you're going to be taking profit at 100k and a lot of people did, now these people knows that the pump will continue soon enough, so they just sell and buy back again.

So why do people sell when they know the pump is not over? First and foremost, it is done for arbitrage purposes, secondly for security reasons in the event of a dip, and thirdly for pure profit.

In reality, I did not expect BTC to continue pumping after reaching 108k; there was bound to be a lot of dumping for the reasons I mentioned, and this is true for any coin that reaches an astronomical and unbelievable figure.

Many people will be hesitant to buy BTC above 100k, or even exactly 100k, because they believe it will not yield a profit at the market's peak, but this is not the only reason; the second reason is the uncertainty about where the price will be in September 2025. BTC could be 114k or 200k; we can not tell, which is why people will stall.

Alts

Thankfully, there are alts, as alt season has yet to begin, but here's the irony. The higher the price of a coin, the more people want to invest in it; however, an upward movement in price ensures that an investor will profit.

So upward momentum is a morale booster, but even so, people are skeptical that they will make the desired profit.

On the other hand, some people do not want to invest even when a coin is simply correcting after reaching some highs, even if it is a minor correction that is normal in a bull market.

People Fail Other People

I saw a big we3 influencer on Twitter a few days ago being bearish about crypto due to the recent corrections. Now, his tweet implied that the bear market had already begun, which surprised me because over 100k people who follow him will see this tweet and say, "Wrap it up boys, the bear market is upon us."

Now he would not only influence over 100k people, but he would also cause them to miss out on an opportunities to change their lives, and even if they continued to follow him for ten years, they would still be in the dark about how the market actually works, and they would never stop being newbies.

Crypto Defies Logic

There are many logical things about crypto at the moment, one of which is that BTC should not reach 200k because it has already reached 100k in this cycle.

The second is that this cycle will be worse than 2017 and 2021 because institutions are now buying crypto, causing it to lose its decentralization nature.

All of these are logical reasons, but we know the market is never logical, and it will continue to blow everyone's minds in a few months time.



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Interested in some more of my works



Is it Easy To Make Money?
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"Un-PAYING" The Debt You Owe

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If someone want to invested then they should invest if anyone is thinking about investing and doing nothing then that is the worse case scenario in my opinion.

Well you're right, but some people will look at the price and say "well, I'll wait for it to dip" only for the price to continue going up, so they never invest

Yes you are right I used to do the same but now most of the time I do DCA and don't even look over the price because if I want to invest then I don't consider the price I only consider the amount I am collecting right now. If you will look on the price of you want to wait for the exact opportunity then that is never gonna happen.

DCA is the best, because we don't know when there'll be a pump or dip even if we tend to want to predict. So I do that mostly as well, especially with Hive

Yes, I agree with you.

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I remember when my "non-crypto" friend decided to buy his first parts of a Bitcoin... It was at the end of 2017, and the price was 17K... A few weeks/months/years after that, it looked like a bad idea... But, in 2021, it wasn't anymore...
He bought almost the exact top, and if he held his BTC (Unfortunately, I think he didn't), he would now be almost 6x his purchase...

It's all about the perspective..

Indeed sir totally agree.

Yeah, that's one thing about buying at the near top. At 100k it almost seems as if it's a bad investment choice, but take a look at 2017. Someone now would wish, oh how I wish I could go back to 2017. I think some in 2028 will also wish they can come back to 2025. It gets costlier every cycle, but I wonder why a lot of people don't understand this.

Feel sad for that friend, being x6 would have been great for them..

Feel sad for that friend, being x6 would have been great for them..

He was hesitating a lot to get into it in the first place... I was poking him way before BTC hit those 17K, but he was delaying his decision... And did it in the "worst" moment...

I suppose it happened in the same way when he sold it and went out from it... You know that saying... "The way it came, the way it gone"

It's saddening, but I guess tough choices are difficult to make and it wasn't so easy to make the choice to keep the coin once they've bought it. At 17k it was such a sweet spot to get in. My goodness!

I don think chasing the hype of alts is a good one. You just have to be patient, in case anything later happened. BTC at $100 is still looking so good it has enabled a lot gain more profit. Other cryptocurrency look so promising but one still need to be calm with them.

Hive is an alt, so I think it's worth chasing. At 50 cents it's a steal, considering it might be 3$ in 6 months time.

Yeah, it actually worth it. I just hope it gets to $3, then I will be so happy.

It's tough but I think people don't need to buy a full BTC. They could always buy a part of a BTC, but I agree that it's tough when we look at the current price. Nobody knows where the price will head but I do think that BTC will go up even further over time.

Overtime, it's inevitable that BTC will go up and that's the certainty that most investors over the years have banked on. However, at the moment, maybe it's just because it's not everyone that has enough cash to be along into a coin that's 100k already

Long term, 100k is cheap, but I too took some profit just below 100k, and made new buy orders with this money far lower, I still think we will see a big dump before taking off to 150k

There's bound to be a dump and corrections in a bull cycle, this makes the pump sustainable I think. So that was a wise decision. I think BTC dumped to 89k even after hitting 100k so.

Since the top we're making lower highs and lower lows, the trend is your friend.
Long term I'm bullish of course!

Yes, long-term, one just has to bullish, the trends supports it.

I wouldn't buy. Buy I bought at 16.5k. And at 25k. And at 27k. And so on. For me, the risk would be too high to buy BTC at 100k, before the bear market. Others might, for the last squeezes of its growth until the bear market, which may be significant from here.

You're right. I think buying at the moment might not yield any profit. However, I think a long termer wouldn't mind. In reality, it makes more sense to wait till the bull market, or just buy alts since alt season hasn't started