I've been getting more and more 2020-like vibes from the crypto market lately, as we exit the accumulation zone we entered after the "premature" Bitcoin ATH of $74,000. During the summer, plenty of people believed the bull market was over—some still do.
Personally, I’ve stayed bullish since early 2023 and will probably remain so until late 2025, or sooner if the market overheats and you start seeing low-IQ dickheads making insane paper money on memes and other volatile coins.
I don’t know when the peak of this bull market cycle will happen, but I do know I’ll be selling small positions all the way to the top. It’s the best strategy I’ve come up with, especially after screwing up two bull markets in a row.
Every halving year, October is when the "real breakout" happens—this is when the market enters what we call "up-only mode." But don’t get it twisted; there will still be corrections.
We’ll see plenty of those until the cycle peak, but what you’ll notice over the coming months into 2025 is that these corrections will be sharp and fast. During accumulation and bear markets, it takes time for Bitcoin and altcoins to recover from a dump. Once we hit the "hope" phase, recovery times shrink as retail FOMO kicks in. It’s insane how much these cycles rhyme, and yet investors still fall for the same “this time is different” BS.
Spoiler alert: it won’t be different. Just like it wasn’t in 2021. Back in 2020, we had the COVID liquidity pumping asset prices. Now, we’re already seeing China inject tons of money into the economy as stimulus. Some dude on Twitter said a while back that Bitcoin cycles are actually liquidity cycles, not halving cycles.
I couldn’t care less. All I care about is making the most money I can over the next 365 days because I’m 100% sure a bear market will follow, and once again, we’ll have insane discounts on cryptos. We’ll also be able to short every shitcoin back to zero when the bubble pops, and trust me, there will be signs.
BTC is currently sitting at $66,000, the total market cap added something like $100 billion in the last 24 hours, and we haven’t even had a full-blown altcoin season yet. But it’s coming. And just as sure as there’s a bull market now, there’s a bear market waiting for us at the end of the euphoria phase. But most won’t believe it…
That’s all from me for now. Wishing you all a great Monday and insane profits in this bull market. Until next time...
Thanks for your attention,
Adrian