What Will Crypto Policy Look Like in 2025?
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Part 1/8:
As 2024 comes to a close, host Jen Cazi and co-host Hermine Wong, a lecturer at UC Berkeley Law School and former SEC special counsel, reflect on an extraordinary year for crypto regulation and policy. This article summarizes their discussion on significant events in the cryptocurrency space and what we can anticipate in 2025, particularly with the impending Trump administration.
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Hermine Wong emphasizes that 2024 had numerous standout moments, starting with the approval of the Bitcoin ETF, which marked a critical turning point for the crypto market. Following this, the political landscape shifted dramatically with former President Donald Trump's unexpected pivot to engage with the crypto community, leading many in the industry to rally behind him for the upcoming election. Unlike the previous year, 2024 avoided major scandals akin to the FTX collapse, ending the year with Bitcoin prices rising significantly.
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Jen highlights that optimism is rampant heading into 2025, with expectations for deregulation in the United States. This positive atmosphere surrounds projects in decentralized finance (DeFi) and altcoins, facilitating broader access to various crypto products for U.S. citizens.
The duo introduces Ary RedBoard, the global head of policy and government affairs at TRM Labs, who shares insights from a recently released report focused on global crypto policy trends for 2024 and 2025. The report highlights shifts in regulatory landscapes across 20 countries, though notably omitting China's developments. Given that China has taken steps to allow individuals to hold crypto, the absence of a comprehensive overview has raised questions about its implications.
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RedBoard explains that while China has made strides with its digital yuan—which operates on a closed system unlike traditional public blockchain networks—much of the global attention remains on clear regulatory frameworks outside of China.
The topic of stablecoins comes up, with RedBoard suggesting that 2025 may finally see the introduction of stablecoin legislation in the U.S. Despite previous delays, he feels the consensus among industry and policymakers could propel action forward. The conversation touches upon the complexities involved in regulating digital assets within the context of existing agencies like the SEC and CFTC.
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Wong points out that the U.S. regulatory framework's fragmentation—which encompasses multiple regulatory agencies—could eventually lead to improved clarity and consistency in how crypto is managed, especially with upcoming legislative changes.
As the discussion shifts to Nvidia's recent legal troubles, Wong outlines a significant Supreme Court ruling rejecting Nvidia's appeal tied to an investor lawsuit regarding Bitcoin mining. The case portrays emerging trends of private shareholder litigation within the tech and cryptocurrency sectors, emphasizing a future where companies heavily involved in crypto may face increased scrutiny from investors concerned about volatility and risk.
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The implications extend beyond Nvidia, as other corporations venturing into cryptocurrency, such as MicroStrategy, might also draw attention from vigilant shareholders.
With the upcoming Trump administration, the conversation transitions to potential regulatory shifts, starting with Paul Atkins' nomination for SEC Chair. Wong describes Atkins as a well-liked figure with a history in the SEC who is expected to foster a more positive environment for the crypto industry. This could mark a departure from the aggressive regulation style of Gary Gensler, who was known for his strict enforcement actions targeting perceived unlawful behavior in the industry.
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Regarding David Sachs, Trump's pick for AI and crypto special advisor, RedBoard suggests that he may dismantle regulatory barriers set by the previous administration, thereby enabling a more supportive environment for innovation and competition in the digital space.
The show concludes on a note of optimism for 2025, as both Wong and RedBoard agree on the potential for a bullish crypto environment facilitated by new leadership and clearer regulations. Yet Wong maintains a level of caution, stressing that regulatory frameworks need to balance innovation with consumer protection.
Part 8/8:
As the audience prepares for the new year, the show serves as a reminder that significant changes could be on the horizon for the cryptocurrency sector, both in terms of regulation and market behavior.
The final show of 2024 encapsulates the year’s notable advancements and challenges in the cryptocurrency landscape. As regulators, industries, and the public brace themselves for another pivotal year, the insights shared by Cazi, Wong, and RedBoard provide a platform for informed discussions to unfold as we venture into the complexities and possibilities of crypto regulation in 2025.