You can get lost in your mind when you do things that are random. For example, playing a lottery, no matter how serious you get about winning, every single time you play, the odds of success are quite the same - random. You cannot actually predict what happens next. Life is complex by itself, when you work with unpredictable things you complicate life even more.
In whatever you do, you must always pay attention to the probability of success. Going into a business, you should have a good level of confidence that if things go as you've predicted you'll be doing great. This is what makes the difference between masters and amateurs. Masters can see what is predictable even in a chaotic situation and work with the predictable.
Even for traders in the market; while amateurs say that the market is completely unpredictable and that you cannot tell which project will do well and all that. But we see market masters who are constantly hitting it big from the same market. Why do you think that is? Clearly, they've found something predictable in the chaotic market.
Also, let's look at the game of chess. While amateurs say that the game of chess is too complex and unpredictable, we have chess Grandmasters, who see how predictable things could be. News have it that, at a point in Bobby Fischer's life, he said that he could literally see in entirety how a chess game will turn out and prepare for an end game to his advantage, and win.
This also applies in the business world. While you may be thinking that you need luck to get ahead, masters in business analysis, work with predictable facts to reach very accurate conclusions. If you want to see predictable patterns in things that others say is complex, you have to work hard and give your quality time to vigorous study of that thing.
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