Presidents and What They Say: Does It Matter?

in #hive-196233yesterday

****Please note: this is not a rant or complaint. It's a talk. Since it is political, I think this is the most appropriate community for posting.****

In the United States, we have just inaugurated a new president, one who promises to bring about dramatic change in government and society. The inauguration of every new president is a time for reflection. A president who promises to change the system calls for deep reflection.

I have lived through the terms of twelve elected presidents. Actually, I've lived through thirteen but only clearly remember twelve. I vividly recall Dwight Eisenhower (elected in 1953), and every president after that. In chronological order, they are (leaving out Ford, who was not elected)

Eisenhower (E)
Kennedy (K)
Johnson (J)
Nixon (N)
Carter (C)
Reagan (R)
Bush 1 (I’ll call him B ‘89)
Clinton (C)
Bush 2 (I’ll call him B ‘01)
Obama (O)
Biden (B)
Trump (T)

I certainly have favorites among these presidents, and those I did not appreciate. In no case did I agree with everything a president did.

I thought it would be interesting, as we begin a new chapter in the history of U.S. presidents, to look at their inaugural addresses. What do these speeches tell us about the character of the man, and the way he planned/plans to lead the country? Do they tell us anything meaningful at all? Presidents usually don't write their own speeches, but they certainly do approve them before delivery.

I scoured the speeches for significant terms (what I thought were significant terms) in the inaugural addresses. In each case I looked at the first inaugural address, except for Trump. In that instance, I had to choose between the first and second inaugural addresses, since his terms were not consecutive. He is promising to effect dramatic change in this new term, so I thought the second address would be more relevant.

As I compiled these terms, I noticed some are popular with presidents--hope, for example, and freedom. I found it interesting that the only army general on the list, Eisenhower, chose to use most commonly in his address not expressions of war, but terms of service and congeniality: 'freedom', 'hope', 'dedication', 'humility', and 'my fellow citizens'.

At the very bottom of this blog I have listed the expressions I thought were revealing. Before that, I posted a list of the presidents, with pictures (in chronological order), the most compelling challenges facing each president (in my view) at the start of his term, and the two expressions from my list used most often in the inaugural address.

Next to each term on my list of terms is indicated the number of times a president used that term in his inaugural address.

Included with each profile is the most recent rank in one assessment of presidential achievement: 2024 Presidential Greatness Project Expert Survey Brandon Rottinghaus, University of Houston
Justin S. Vaughn, Coastal Carolina University
. The rankings go from 1, the best (which Abraham Lincoln gets) to 45, the worst. As history moves forward and the true impact of each presidency becomes clearer, these rankings will most likely change.

The Presidents

  • Eisenhower (E)
    eisenhower free wikipedia.png
    Wikimedia, public domain
    Korean War, Invokes 'Domino Theory', McCarthyism, Taiwan/China Conflict, Intervention in Latin America, Bay of Pigs, Support of South Vietnam, Civil Rights Act.
    .......Two most-used terms: 'Freedom', 'Dedication'
    **Rank: 8

  • Kennedy (K)
    John_F._Kennedy,_White_House_color_photo_portrait.jpg
    Wikimedia public domain
    Bay of Pigs, Vietnam War, Nuclear Arms Race, Cold War, Civil Rights
    .......Two most-used terms: 'Freedom', Hope'
    **Rank: 10

  • Johnson (J)
    37_Lyndon_Johnson_3x4.jpg
    Wikimedia public
    Vietnam War, Civil Rights, Civil Unrest, Cold War
    .......Two most-used terms: 'Freedom', 'Hope'
    **Rank: 9

  • Nixon (N)
    Richard_M._Nixon,_ca._1935_-_1982_-_NARA_-_530679_(3x4).jpg
    Wikimedia public
    Vietnam War, Civil Unrest, Cold War
    .......Two most-used terms: 'Hope', 'Freedom'
    **Rank: 35

  • Carter (C)
    Jimmy_Carter_(cropped).jpg
    Wikimedia public
    Inflation, Energy (Oil) Crisis, Middle East Conflict, Civil Rights
    .......Two most-used terms: 'Hope', 'My Fellow' (Americans/Citizens)
    **Rank: 22

  • Reagan
    Official_Portrait_of_President_Reagan_1981-cropped.jpg
    Wikimedia public domain
    Iranian Hostage Crisis, Cold War, Nuclear Arms Race, 'Stagflation', National Debt
    .......Two most-used terms: 'Freedom', 'Hope'
    **Rank: 16

  • Bush '89
    George_H._W._Bush_White_House_photo.jpg
    Wikimedia public domain
    Nuclear Arms Race, Iran-Contra Scandal, AIDS, Soviet-U.S. Relations, Tax Policy, Crime, Race
    .......Two most-used terms: 'Democracy', 'Freedom'
    **Rank: 19

  • Clinton
    44_Bill_Clinton_3x4.jpg
    Wikimedia public domain
    Taxes, Welfare, Crime, Economy, Somalia, Race
    .......Two most-used terms: 'Hope', 'My Fellow' (Americans/Citizens)
    **Rank: 12

  • Bush '01
    George-W-Bush.png
    Wikimedia public domain
    Climate, Leadership, Social Security, Character
    .......Two most-used terms: 'Freedom', 'Hope'
    **Rank: 32

  • Obama
    President_Barack_Obama.jpg
    Wikimedia public domain
    Economic Crisis, Bank Collapse, Race, Health Care, Terrorism, Iraq War, Afghanistan War
    .......Two most-used terms: 'Crisis', 'Freedom' and 'Hope'--tied
    **Rank: 7

  • Biden
    Joe_Biden_official_portrait_2013.jpg
    Wikimedia public domain
    Political Crisis, Pandemic, Recession, Social Unrest, Racial Unrest, War in Afghanistan
    .......Two most-used terms: 'Democracy', 'My Fellow' (Americans/Citizens)
    **Rank: 14

  • Trump
    Donald_Trump_Pentagon_2017.jpg
    Wikimedia public domain
    Divided Country, Social Malaise, Immigration, Inflation, National Debt, War in Ukraine, War in Gaza
    .......Two most-used terms: 'Like Never Before', 'Crisis' and 'Freedom'--Tied
    **Rank: 45 (His first term)

About the Rankings: Siena College published a list in 2024, which offered rankings for 2022. With reference to the presidents included in this blog, the rankings on the Siena list are cited below. These vary only slightly from the rankings already given.

Eisenhower:6
Kennedy:9
Johnson:8
Nixon:28
Carter:24
Reagan:18
Bush '89:20
Clinton:14
Bush '01:35
Obama:11
Biden:19
Trump:43

The List of Representative Expressions

  • Annihilate:
    T, once
  • Betrayal:
    T, twice
  • Catastrophe/Catastrophic:
    T, once
  • Conquer:
    T, once; B ‘89, once; B’01 once; N, twice; K, once
  • Cooperation:
    E, once; R, once; O, twice
  • Corrupt:
    T, once; O, once
  • Crisis:
    T, thrice; B, twice; N, once; R, twice; C, once; O, 4 X
  • Dedication:
    E, thrice; C, once
  • Democracy:
    T, once; B ‘89, 5 X; B, 11 X; O, once;
  • Destroy:
    B, once; O, once; K, twice
  • Disaster:
    T, once
  • Freedom:
    T, 3X; E, 10 X; K, 4 X; N, 3X; J, twice; C, 4X; R, 8X; B ‘89, 6X; C, 3X; B ‘01 5X; O, 3X
  • Hope:
    T, twice; E, 9X; K, 3X; J, 5X; N, 5X; C, 6X; R,4X; C, 3X; B ‘01, 3X; O, 3X; B, 3X
  • Humility/Humble:
    E, once; C, once; R, once; B ‘01, once; O, twice; B, twice
  • Intimidated:
    T, once
  • Like Never Before:
    T, 5X
  • My Fellow: (This varies, My Fellow Citizen or My Fellow Americans):
    T, once; E, once; K, twice; J, once; N, twice; R, once; C, 5X; B ‘01, once; O, once; B, 5X
  • Radical:
    T, twice
  • Vicious:
    T, once
  • Violent:
    T, twice

Conclusion
Why did I do this? A lot of research went into this blog, a lot of time invested. It's important to me that I deal not in hyperbole but in facts. Of course, facts can be manipulated. For example, I chose the words to search in each speech. These were determined by what I perceived as the tone and message of each inaugural address. That is a subjective judgement.

The important challenges facing each president changed when they assumed office. For example, George Bush '01 very quickly had to deal with the destruction of the Twin Towers in New York. This led him to wage war in Iraq. This war may have been the most consequential act of his presidency. Yet, it was not a factor in the election or his inaugural address.

Likewise, Jimmy Carter had to deal with the Iran Hostage Crisis. This was a defining event in his presidency. Yet, when he was elected and gave his speech it was not a factor.

We, the citizens of the United States, are in a process of adjustment. We have gone through a few years of political turmoil and at the moment may be as divided as we have ever been in the past (with the exception of the Civil War). Time to reflect. Time for cool heads to prevail. I strive to be one of those cool heads.

Thank you for reading. Peace.

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OMG, I would have never guessed you are so old.

Excellent analysis, I expected nothing less from an intelligent American. I note that there is a statistically significant schewing of the distribution of GOOD presidents in the past 7 decades. In another analysis I read, it was pointed out that Trump's model president seems to be McKinley. Curious where does McKinley stand in this ranking?

We are entering an era of bug upheavals, sleepwalking toward an unbalanced geopolitical situation like we had at the beginning of the XXth century. What would you say are the chances that we avoid 3rd world war a decade or so from now ?

😂

I know. I'm shocked also

Excellent analysis, I expected nothing less from an intelligent American

Thank you.

On the first ranking source Mckinly ranks 25. On the second he ranks 22. BTW, he was assassinated and was replaced by VP Theodore Roosevelt. Trump admires both presidents, and both presidents were expansionists--which obviously Trump is seeking to emulate with his Greenland and Panama goals.

As for a third world war: war has a way of sneaking up on us. Although there are always actors who think they can benefit from war, nothing ever goes as planned. I have a granddaughter who is in her third year of college. I hope for her and everyone else in the world, peace. I don't have much confidence, though.

Let's hope history is not prologue. If it is, we are all in trouble.

Thanks for that most interesting feedback.

On a more serious note, I updated my comment after reading your post in full. 😄

I see...😇

In no case did I agree with everything a president did.

This should be the general rule. It isn't right that when you disapprove of some presidential measure, people immediately assume that you agree with everything that some dominant opposition group says/does. In rhetoric it's called fallacy of composition, and I've found that it's often more a fallacy of thought than jus a formal fallacy.

Changes appear to be imminent. I hope that, in general, they'll be for the good of all of you--and of us in the rest of the world as well; T's decisions will affect us greatly here in Venezuela, to say the least.

Nice reading you, friend. Hope you're having a quiet Sunday ☕️

T's decisions will affect us greatly here in Venezuela, to say the least

It is a geopolitical reality that what the U.S. president does echoes around the world.

I am a student of history, as I believe you are. Circumstances can change very rapidly. The greatest danger for a citizenry is complacency. Security, permanency is illusory. Many populations have been stunned by rapidly changing events throughout history.

What will the future bring? That book has yet to be written.

I am having a quiet Sunday. I hope the same is true for you and your family.

Interesting analsysis. Going back to Nixon and before, Presidents spoke in a somewhat higher mode of articulation. Printing out their respective speeches and subjecting them to a complexity analysis would likely show a higher reading or literacy level of the texts working backward.

It's probably lost in the noise of political commentary and history, but pre-Watergate Nixon was one of our most popular Presidents.

!PIMP !PIZAA

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Going back to Nixon and before, Presidents spoke in a somewhat higher mode of articulation.

Absolutely. Lincoln's inaugural speech had phrases that have gone down in history for their eloquence. He wrote his own speeches.

As for Nixon's popularity. It's a complex issue. He was commonly called 'Tricky Dick' by non-fans. He did not have a reputation for integrity before his election, among some. His famous 'Checkers' speech deflected from the appearance of financial impropriety early on, and his association with McCarthyism tarnished his reputation for many voters.

Here's a graph that shows the swings in popularity during his presidency. I never trusted him, but my husband was in Vietnam when Nixon was up for reelection. My husband believed Nixon when he said he had a plan for peace. So Nixon got his vote. That might have been true for a lot of people. Of course, Nixon did not have a plan.

Thanks for your interesting feedback :)

You are welcome, I sincerely enjoy reading this type of content. We (collectively) have become scurrisome people, and have lost historical context and abandonded deeper analysis, in the era of social media. It feels that most political discussion is just reactionary cheerleading or derogation with no substance underlying it.

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I personally don't think it is that deep. Hope and freedom have always been most used because America has always been the epitome of both. And I say that as a Canadian lol
Despite the privileged life we have here, we have dealt with our fair share of censorship. We don't even have the privilege of defending ourselves, you'll be charged for defending yourself. Public healthcare sucks and there have been countless times where I happily would have paid for private.

Uhhhh aside from that, crisis is absolutely warranted lol again, as a Canadian I have never been more fearful of inevitable societal collapse, to the point where my husband and I have purchased an RV so we can be as far away from everybody when it happens.

And if people do not live in reality or refuse to see truth, that's fine. For those of us who do, we recognize that the tide is changing. I definitely feel for the better, but that doesn't mean it will be a road hump-free journey

Hello @borderline.babe,

Thanks for reading that long blog and responding with such an interesting comment. I don't know what you mean by this:

I personally don't think it is that deep.

What is not that deep?

Anyway, as for the RV and getting ready to leave in a disaster, I think there is a general air of impending doom, or catastrophe, that many feel. I think this explains the popularity of post-apocalyptic books/media. People are working out their fears.

My daughter has an RV, and she always says it is a place to go to in case of emergency or hard times.

As for healthcare, while many in my country are deprived of first-class healthcare, many are bankrupted when they use first-class healthcare, One study revealed that 66.5% of bankruptcy filings in the U. S. are essentially caused by medical bills. There is something wrong with that. I'm sure there are deficiencies in the Canadian system (because you say there are ) but there is something dramatically, critically wrong with a healtcare system that bankrupts so many people.