Furthering that point and the cases of caution, in the past year, the variance for HBD going below the $1 Peg, has been about $0.10 on the opposite end. Not bad, but not likely either, as it has only happened once in the past year.
All other points of variance below the peg this year, have been less than $0.10 and the highs above the peg, have seen over $0.10 technically, I just used ~$0.10 as a reference point. :P
Over-Peg is what I'm banking on, personally. You should do some research though and look at some charts to decide for yourself. Not everything will continue any given pattern though, so don't start to believe you can predict the future based on the past. xD Sometimes I read articles about new coins or existing coins and how they're being developed, etc. As for strictly Hive/HBD/Hive-Engine tokens, I'd say trading on the internal market as the price varies and paying attention to those variations are where the most money is in times of obscene volatility. :D
Even reading the posts people post on CMC can give you some sort of idea about something and the potential price change and if you watch the bullish/bearish meters, as they shift daily, you can see how public sentiment changes which also heavily affects price. Hope you find some success! :D
Also, since I mentioned Hive-Engine, If you have/had SWAP.HIVE on there and it was sitting there, but you DO buy tokens on there, I'd suggest taking advantage of the price hike on there as well. Higher Hive $ value + HE Tokens retaining same $ value = More HE Tokens for your $ boosted Hive! :)