Why do it at 0.6$ when you can do it for $6?

in #hive-1466202 days ago


Warning!!!

This post will have some elements of hopium (hopium means uncalculated optimism based on nothing but pure wishful thinking), so if you can not take the hopium, stop now and do not go any further


Many people have quickly reacted to Hive's pump by hitting the "power-down" button, as have the majority of the people I know and interact with, owing to the arbitrage advantage that comes with these pumps and price declines.

In the past, these classic pumps and dumps were nearly identical. You see a consistent pump for hours, followed by a consistent dump for hours. For reasons I do not understand, the classic "Hive P & D" propelled by Koreans does not exhibit the same behavior in this cycle.

In the past, there was "Up up up up up" and "down down down down"; rinse and repeat until you hit an ATH. This cycle has followed a different pattern. It is been more of a heartbeat, like "Up up down down up up down down down Up down", and so on.

If you are a wise man or woman, you will notice that arbitrage is difficult when the patterns are irregular. I tried playing the arbitrage game and failed miserably.

Shout-out to the true masters of arbitrage; some of these guys have managed to increase their Hive power by trading on the internal market, and the benefit of this is that they will be able to own more cheaper Hive that will be x10 the price at market peak.

Arbitrage opportunities are the most cost-effective ways to increase your stake, but you will need technical knowledge to do so. So what did I actually do? What I do is buy Hive using HBD.

Whether I buy at 0.3$, 0.4, or 0.6$, the ultimate goal is for the price to reach 4 or 5$ at the peak of the bull market. (Remember, this is a reasonable or realistic prediction; I will get to the hopium soon.)

Personally, I know I can do better with arbitrage opportunities, but I have sucked at it due to the irregularities of these pumps, so I have resorted to piling up Hive.

For me, I powered up at the 20c range, and still powered up at the 40c range, why? Curation rewards. While others can basically power down and make more stakable Hive, I do mine in a different way: leave it all powered up and still continue earning more curation rewards.

At 0.6$, it makes sense to power down Hive in order to gain more through arbitrage; however, if you are not doing it for arbitrage, I believe you will be left out when the true rally begins, and I do not think you want to miss out on that rally.

Personally, I choose not to power down yet, Why? I suck at arbitrage, and secondly, I want to continue to be able to give and receive support via my Hive power; all of these are compounding tactics that I will not bother explaining because I believe you all understand them.

The third reason is that having liquid Hive may tempt me to play the arbitrage game, and to me, every tiny piece of Hive means a lot, and I will not want to lose any Hive right now, not even $0.02.

I Want To FUD you; I am sorry, but I have to

At $0.6, I believe we have only just begun. If you sold your stash at 0.16 because you thought we were already dead, I feel sorry for you. Here's what you are going to miss. You will miss out on the opportunity to purchase HBD and then use it to buy back cheap Hive years later.

Second, you will most likely lose the support of the accounts that have previously supported you, and third, you will miss out on the opportunity to benefit from the current run.

Apparently it is the consequences of giving up on Hive too soon, and while you might do it right and make it to 2029, what are the chances that any of us will still be around in 2029? Have this as some food for thought.

Finally, some hopium

Congratulations if you managed to hold even when we were at 0.16 and sinking.

Do you remember the scene in Titanic where a group of musicians gathered to play a hymn while the ship was sinking?
They did not try to flee or join the chaos; instead, they surrendered and held out until the end.

Fortunately, we did not sink completely, and we are still here. In crypto there's reward for survival. When you survive, you will have the opportunity to see another day.

We have seen another day, and we may die another day, but there is sunshine today, and it is looking good. In reality, we can easily do 8 to 10 dollars in price, and at this current price, we are around 18 to x19. It is feasible, given that a harder pump could occur between Q2 and Q3.

Back to reality.

Apparently, the most realistic price we could get is around $5 to $6.

This is x2 from the previous ATH and at these prices you can have enough HBD to make you a new dolphin, a stronger dolphin, a new orca, a double or triple orca and a few accounts can even become newer whales by 2028.

While repeating the process and increasing their stash. The Hive game is not difficult; you simply need incredible stiffness, patience, and the right strategies. So, why sell at 0.6 when 6$ could be coming soon?



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Interested in some more of my works



Is it Easy To Make Money?
Nigeria: A Unique Business Market & Industry
Virtual Bank Apps In Nigeria: An Experience Of Gamification
How To Find The Next "BIG" Meme Coin
Personal Finance: Achieving Intentional "Saving" Goals
Playing The Survival Game: Human Nature In Introspection
"Un-PAYING" The Debt You Owe

png_20230102_074302_0000.png

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@josediccus! @edgerik Wants to spread Hope! so I just sent 1 HOP to your account on behalf of @edgerik.

Since we think the world can use more Hope, you can now already start spreading Hope yourself!

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Definitely achievable as a price target. At that point though the rewards pool will be shared by so many people looking to earn the coin that both author and curation rewards in terms of HIVE will shrink a lot (it did already with recent pumps), while in fiat terms we might get more.

That’s why being active during the hardest times will get you bigger rewards when the sentiment finally turns.

Definitely achievable as a price target

Do you mean the 5 to 6$ or the 8 to 10$?

At that point though the rewards pool will be shared by so many people looking to earn the coin that both author and curation rewards in terms of HIVE will shrink a lot (it did already with recent pumps), while in fiat terms we might get more.

I think we cannot get it all and that's why as you've said, building during the bear market is the best time to build. The disadvantage to people who are actually trying to grab some of those big payout because of the increase in price is that they wouldn't really get much as people who have been doing it when lesser people were actually posting, and that's where the reward of believing and continuing when the population is decreasing actually pays off, and you've confirmed this as well.

I've noticed older accounts turning up, and I think the people who have built over the years will not really mind, afterall, they've gained more over the years.

Thanks for the comment. How have you been doing?

6$ is in the books imho, what I’m curious to see though is the new bottom price during winter times.

As a curator I have been here since the birth of my account, as an author I have been in a bit of a niche forever, but I do it for fun not for the rewards.

All in all fun times ahead for Hivers at last.

6$ is in the books imho

I believe so too. It's probably the most realistic, and I think it's so because it's easily x20 of our last ATH

I Think that no one can predict the bottom in the winter times as there are too much grey areas that we might not currently see that we will see when it's that time, but then, I want to believe that we actually get better (Hive) every cycle and those winter times will once again present buying opportunities to those who will stack HBD in this period.

as an author I have been in a bit of a niche forever

Of course, for the fun of it, I think you should actually post more contents whenever you have the time and opportunity

I highly doubt it. I’m team Hive and love this place! I just don’t see us going anywhere near there this cycle. I’d be thrilled to be wrong though! !PIMP

Lolzz well thank goodness you clarified it an hopium. But it wont be a bad idea if we go at 1$ though

5 to 6$ is really, 8 to 10$ is hopium

$5 is hopium also. I hope I’m wrong as I love and hold hive. But this screams hopium to me at $5 call.

6$ is easily x2 from the previous ATH which is more than possible. 8$ is what's unrealistic to me

I would bet serious money we don’t break $4.50

I would love to be wrong, I am team Hive all the way. I just don’t see it. That would be 40X from our 2024 low. I don’t see any chance we go there. We bottomed at .1470 cents on August 4th 2024. I don’t see a 30X move to $4.45 area from the bottom. Nothing in the trends or action is showing me this is likely.

It’s very clear many crypto’s are not going to break 2021 highs. A group of them will for sure, but not 90% like 2021 where 90% broke 2017/2018 highs. The trend will show many will not get to a new ATH. If Hive does I just don’t see it going much past it and going to $5 or $6… but I do hope I’m wrong as I’m team Hive 🙌

I would bet serious money we don’t break $4.50

Haha well let's see how it goes. We've spent a lot of time predicting what will and what wouldn't be. I think we'll just wait and see

Why sell now when the possibility of becoming a whale is not far away? I might be dreaming but the future is near to answer that

Yeah, that's what I think. I'm not selling now, the time to sell will come, I think it's just too early.

Yep, staying powered up makes sense until later if trading doesn't work. One needs to be really careful with trading, as there can be losses in HIVE terms in this early stage before HIVE goes high enough. There are opportunities too, but one needs to be prepared to take both losses and profits and, overall, be profitable when the line is drawn.

I'm eventually going to power down some Hive and go into HBD but I'm only going to do that from 2 to 3$ Hive and nothing less than that. I reckon that a lot of people will have sold off and the pump will go farther than they anticipated

Seems like a good target to me! I sell, but also buy back. Until higher prices, my end goal is to have more HIVE, and more than if I had kept them powered up, otherwise I will consider this a failed experiment.

@thebighigg, the HiQ Smart Bot has recognized your request (2/3) and will start the voting trail.

In addition, @josediccus gets !HUG from @hiq.redaktion.

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History rhymes in cycles... We are seeing the same things that happened in previous bull runs... The price is the best advertising as it already attracted some "old-forgotten" Hivians to come back to the platform, and some new names... Some of them will stick and stay for the bear markets, and many of them will leave... It's just a fact...

On the other side, what you said is true, it will be harder to accumulate more (HIVE) as an author as many old names are in curation trails, and votes will be spread more among them... But, I still think that curation rewards will not be that affected as many will keep their HIVE liquid, in the hope of finding (and selling) on the top, which means that our HivePower could be more valuable in the bull market!

Just my 2c


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We all agree on this and that's because we've seen this pattern play out all the time and the funny thing is that it always repeats itself.

The price is the best advertising

I think this time around we got some CEX listing and Binance futures. We didn't have this in the past when hive propelled to 3.4$. I think one way or the other, people who stick around are going to enjoy the benefit of sticking around. Of course, more people gets to share the reward pool and all, but I wouldn't worry about that I've been here throughout the bear market. It looked hopeless to be building during the bear, but the joke is one someone who didn't.

Hive power will be more valuable because it's what actually distributes the reward pool. I'm holding on to mine greedily lol.

Thanks a million for the curation


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I love this your "uncalculated optimism" :)
!PIMP
!discovery 35

Hahaha thanks a million, always and for your support too.


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I personally continue to buy and maintain at any price, many people criticize me, but time will prove me right.
Thank you for your excellent explanation.

!HOPE
!ALIVE

Time will prove you right, I think I also agree with this. Everyone has their own strategy

(15/20)
@josediccus!
You Are Alive so I just staked 0.1 ALIVE to your account on behalf of @edgerik.

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Nobody knows how prices will act, but I think arbitraging when the volatility is hard. Especially so during these Hive pumps as we know there are just a few people manipulating prices. I do think prices will stay high for a while because those who wanted to sell probably sold what they could. I hope Hive reaches $6, but I think that the previous ATH at $3 is my bet.

6$ is realizable. BTC is doing x3 of its previous ATH. Most alts will do X2 of their previous ATH. This is why Hive can easily do 6$ because it's x2 of it's previous ATH.

Damn, now I'm a hopium addict.... lol Great post. I'm glad I bought a lot of Hive sub twenty cents now. Much ended up in HSBI for giveaways and helping fund the DUO token I started with my silver gold stacking buddies. I hope we see this push continue, but even if it doesn't I'll keep on posting. Hive is a lot of fun and I've met a lot of good friends here.

Kudos for not powering down, that would be hard not to do. I heard the same from another big stake holder that he's not going to either. Hopefully we'll see a push up to more than a dollar, but time will tell. It sure is fun to see some high Hive prices though!
!hiqvote

You told me you didn’t think we’d hit a dollar this cycle 🤣🤣🤣

!PIMP

I honestly would be shocked if we did! But if this keeps up I won't mind being proved totally wrong!
!PIMP

Same here!!

A lot of people would kill to have Hive back at 20 cents, unfortunately I think 40c is the lowest low that I think we can go in 2025. I'm eventually going to power down at 2 to 3$ and nothing less than that. I think this is because this is where you'll make enough profit to buy back Hive at some point later. So I'm not falling for anything. Plus, I suck at arbitrage and instead of my to do it, I'll just continue buying hive at the current price, since it's eventually going to go up.