Jupiler League Week 22 Saturday Previews

in #hive-1016904 days ago

These are previews from matches involving Belgian Teams with all the latest on team news, player form, and injuries along with my personal betting angles, ...

Luck wasn't on my side yesterday as I made a slight loss which could have been a small jackpot win in case the late chance for charleroi went in instead of being saved into a corner. Plenty of matches left with 3 played on Saturday to cover...


Dender vs Cercle Brugge

Cercle brugge managed to turn the bad streak around and now are without a loss in their last 7 matches. They don't really belong in a playdown spot and I do expect them to keep doing ok and manage to avoid it. The actual form they showed on the pitch is ok but also not spectacular. Most of their results lately are also low-scoring and they are at the bottom over overall xg in the last 3 matches at 2.39 while Dender is 2nd last in the last 3 matches at 2.43 while overall they are 2d lowest with 2.60. Dender is a team who mainly focus on the defense and the counters. They have done well and showed that they could be capable to avoid the playdowns now with 5 points clear of Westerlo while they are by no means safe. I would not be surprised if at some point they got in a bad streak and started falling back. I do See Cercle as the team who over the season should most time end above Dender and they are on their way up so I was willing to bet just 0.1 unit on Cercle Brugge +0 @ 2.099. They still are down against the asian handicap bad in away matches but I mostly see it as the result of the first half of the season. Given that both are so low in xg lately with Dender who are known for their good defense, I also took 0.1 unit on Under 2.25 @ 2.163 and just 0.05 units on 1H Under 1 @ 1.893


Kv Mechelen vs Racing Genk

The reverse fixture between these teams ended in a 2-1 win for genk with a 1.8-1.29xg and 6-6 in corners. Many of the previous encounters before that also ended in matches that had 3+ goals. This while Genk is the highest overall xg team in the league at 3.470 and 3.94 even in the last 3 games. Mechelen overall is at 3.06 overall and 2.82 overall while they always have been a team who were overish at home but underish away. This trend however has stabilized lately and they are only barely up against the over line at home anymore. Genk so far has been an away over team and home under team against the asian handicap. Both also don't tend to wait and go for it from the start with a 10W-3L rate on an 1H Over 1 line. So I kind of like the Over but at the same time want to get some kind of confirmation. I already took 0.1 unit on Over 3.5 @ 2.869 which feels worth the risk and 0.1 unit on the Over 2.75 @ 1.913 line. Genk has shown to be beatable on the road so I do expect Mechelen to go for it even though they got in a bad streak themselves lately. I do expect a Genk win in the end.


Club Brugge vs Beerschot

Club Brugge now is unbeaten in 17 matches in a row after they won their mid-week cup match with a 2-1 score against Genk. The main critique that can be given is that they could win more of their matches with a wider margin if they actually pushed which they rarely to never do. They have quality in their team and a high finishing rate. This also shows in their stats against the asian handicap which are about break-even indicating that they are valued properly. Beerschot has improved but they are still dead last with 13 points which is 5 lower than Kortrijk. Their drive and motivation in the team is still good however which helped them to take some points but overall their quality of play at times simply isn't sharp enough. They have a really bad home pitch which clearly helped them against better playing teams which makes them a team that is 5.5W-3L at home against the hanicap but 2W-7.5L away against the asian handicap. So far they played twice away against a top team which ended in a 2-1 loss against Anderlecht (after getting 0-1 ahead) and a 4-0 loss against Antwerp in week 9. On both they also lost the corners with 5+. So the main question here for me is how much Club Brugge will rotate and how much they will actually push for a big lead. The opening line at 2.25 was a bit too extreme for me while at the same time I was not willing to back Beerschot. By now it went to -2 / -1.75 which feels more acceptable. I took just 0.15 units on Club Brugge -1.75 @ 1.813 with the hope to possibly get better odds in-game. I do expect that there might be some rotation with the upcoming Champions League match against Juventus on Tuesday.


Late info might change my view on what is written in these previews. I will cover these matches live in our SBC Discord Channel. I'm also sharing all my early pre-game bets there at the time that I am betting them myself.

I take all my Pre-Game & Live bets with my Betting Broker Sportmarket Pro who always provides the best offers on the market with a 1 click solution and doesn't limit winning players offering high limits. For more info check my Sportmarket Pro Review

I share many of my pre-game bets in all my preview posts as bold selections which are all counted as 1-unit flat bets. See these just as info and not as actual betting advice. If you do follow, make sure to shop around for the best odds. In the last 4 seasons, I had 710 of these bets good for +58.669 units Profit and +6.85% ROI. (Last Update 28/06/2024)

Season 2024-2025 Crypto Bets

DateBetStakeOddsResultBookie
12/01/2025Club Brugge -0.250.027ETH1.870+0.235 ETHDexsport.io
14/12/2024Beerschot -1.5 CK36 USDC2.800+64.8 USDCSolcasino.io
14/12/2024Beerschot +0.5 CK0.01 ETH1.770+0.0077 ETHDexsport.io
28/11/2024Porto 1H +0 CK41 USDC1.750-41 USDCSolcasino.io
28/11/2024Porto 1H -1.5 CK0.01 ETH3.35-0.01 ETHDexsport.io
02/11/2024Mechelen TT Over 10.05 ETH1.937+0.00 ETHSportbet.one
25/08/2024Club Brugge 1H -2.5 CK30 USDC3.450-30 USDCSolcasino.io
25/08/2024Club Brugge 1H -1.5 CK70 USDC2.140-70 USDCSolcasino.io
24/08/2024Westerlo 1H -0.5 CK170 USDC1.770+130.9 USDCSolcasino.io
17/08/2024Stvv TT U10.02 ETH2.290-0.02 ETHDexsport.io
17/08/2024Genk -0.50.1 ETH1.942+0.0942 ETHSportbet.one
17/08/2024Genk -0.50.1 ETH1.950+0.0950 ETHDexsport.io
09/08/2024AND vs OHL O 2.250.07 ETH1.801-0.035 ETHSportbet.one
09/08/2024STA TT U1.50.0208 ETH1.850+0.01768 ETHSportbet.one
08/08/2024SIL vs GNT O9.5 CK0.00818 ETH1.920-0.00818 ETHDexsport.io
04/08/2024Cercle +2.5 CK0.0086 ETH1.830-0.0086 ETHDexsport.io
20/07/2024Brugge +00.0551 ETH1.906-0.0551 ETHSportbet.one
20/07/2024Brugge Super Cup Win0.0189 ETH1.880-0.0189 ETHSportbet.one
20/07/2024Brugge +0.2540 USDC1.650-40 USDCSolcasino.io
20/07/2024Brugge +040 USDC1.890-40 USDCSolcasino.io
20/07/2024Brugge -0.2580 USDC2.210-80 USDCSolcasino.io
20/07/2024Brugge -0.580 USDC2.650-80 USDCSolcasino.io
20/07/2024Brugge Super Cup Win160 USDC1.650-160 USDCSolcasino.io

Crypto & Blockchain-Based Bookies and Exchanges that I'm personally using with some allowing anonymous betting with no KYC or personal restrictions...

Previous Crypto Bet Results & Record


YearBetsWonLostPushStakedProfit BTCROI
2023-202456252830.0469-0.0139-29.6%
2022-202376423130.1685+0.029687+17.62%
2021-202256272540.115+0.0166+14.45%
2020-202141210.0250-0.002845-11.38%
2019-202011000.0100+0.01271+127%
2018-201959242750.5900-0.02199-3.7%
2017-2018136656471.233+0.112687+9.14%
2016-201770343420.658+0.006912+1.05%
Total458219211252.8464+0.139861+4.91%

IMPORTANT !

Past results don't guarantee Future Results. There are very few people who are equipped financially and psychologically to handle the ups and downs of gambling on a daily basis. If you're not a professional, every instinct you have will attempt and probably will sabotage your success. Human nature runs completely contrary to being successful at gambling. These bets are posted as a way to help myself in order to stay disciplined, always hold yourself accountable if you end up following. Proper Bankroll Management can highly decrease the risk of heavy losses!

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