Ordinal thoughts

in #hive-167922last year

The rise of Bitcoin ordinals is causing something of a crypto-controversy. It's a good versus evil conundrum: are these Bitcoin NFTs good or bad? The simple arguments as I see them and my thoughts...



Ordinals are bad

Ordinals clog the Bitcoin chain. They drive up fees to interact with the chain. Consequently, they make Bitcoin unusable to most people. Clearly, this is a bad thing.

Most of these ordinals are silly images or pointless BRC-20 tokens. In this way, ordinals are against Satoshi Nakamoto's original vision of Bitcoin as a "Peer-to-Peer Electronic Cash System" (page 10). They even may kill the Lightning Network (LN). The LN is the current remedy for high transaction fees and to enable smaller "cup of coffee" size payments. See thoughts on this at

1656209690634899457, by twitter metadata:djR2YXBwfHxodHRwczovL3R3aXR0ZXIuY29tL3Y0dmFwcC9zdGF0dXMvMTY1NjIwOTY5MDYzNDg5OTQ1NywgYnkgfA== ~~~@v4vapp.

Ordinals are good

Ordinals have ramped up interest in Bitcoin. Users understandably dislike the fees, but miners benefit from those fees. This is drawing in more miners and thus strengthening the chain's security. Also, ordinals have given Bitcoin an entirely new use case. Every use case is beneficial and there seems to be little doubt that these ordinal NFT inscriptions have rejuvenated interest. In fact, rather than shunning on-chain usage, they may actually be spurring users to interact with the blockchain more and more. More users and more usage is a good thing.

My leanings

I come down on the side of, "Ordinals are good."

Regarding the problems of clog and fees, I feel we should look at these as opportunities. Yes, there is a problem now. However, I think it's unwise to underestimate the ingenuity of human creativity and inventiveness. Time and again throughout history, when faced with problems, mankind has devised novel solutions to problems. This has been especially true when these solutions are incentivized.

Bitcoin offers a fantastic example of both innovation to solve problems and incentives make the solution work.

Bitcoin was created out of frustration with the problems created by the faulty economics of centralized entities and bailouts. Problems led to innovation. The incentives for mining (and collecting fees) initiated the genesis and growth of Bitcoin, and still drive it today. In fact, Satoshi himself foresaw the day when "the incentive can transition entirely to transaction fees" (page 13). Another halving event is coming in about a year (estimated for April 2024). Perhaps, at a faster rate than expected, we are nearing Satoshi's foreseen days of Bitcoin being incentivized by fees alone.

How these present problems of congestion and fees will be solved is unclear at this time, but that is my whole point here. We should not allow our muddied foresight and current lack of creativity to entice us into the conclusion, "Nothing can ever be done about this problem. Ban ordinals."

In economics there is something called "the broken window fallacy". It states that fixing a broken window ultimately does not make people better off, because they would rather have used those resources for something else which would have been preferred.

But, there is deeper way to view the broken window fallacy. It's what is referred to as the "seen and unseen" in economic circles. We see the broken window, the repair, the payment to to workman, and the workman's consequent spending of his earnings. We do not see what would have happened if the window had not been broken in the first place. That reality...the purchases and payments that would have happened if the window was unbroken...remains a mystery. Unseen.

I especially like that a broken window is used in this analogy, as opposed to anything else broken and requiring repair. When a window is broken, it is sometimes temporarily boarded up with plywood until the glass can be obtained and worker is on site. During the wait, that wooden covering halts our vision. We are unable to see through the window and to the outside world beyond. We are constrained by only what we can see in the here and now. What's beyond is unknown, unseen.

With Bitcoin, simply because we cannot see a solution currently to the clog and fees, doesn't mean there is not one out there. It doesn't mean there is no solution standing outside the window of our mind's sight, waiting to be unveiled.

That's what Satoshi did October 31, 2008 with the whitepaper.

Problems and innovation, combined with incentives, are very powerful things.



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Wow!!
Nice writeup
Thanks for sharing

Agreed. Thanks for sharing this! I had that thought on ordinals a few weeks ago. I like this take, because bitcoin was designed for peer to peer digital ash and not for smart contracts. I love how you brought in the fallacy as a metaphor. It shows that you're clever. BRC-20 would do something to tx fees and isn't cool for anyone using BTC for remittances or to fund their families wallet living in the 3rd world.

You are absolutely right about how people get upset when they top up and the big miners are given and they are much happier because they have the same profit we have seen since bitcoin came out. The bank has lost its credibility, it is a good thing, whatever money a man has, he will have it in his own hands. In this whole project, only profit and prudence can be made by those who know it, because when people send it, It goes up again. Great and informative article. Thanks for sharing.

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I require my students to read Frederic Bastiat, the originator of the broken window fallacy. It is one of the most cogent and logical arguments against the inane belief that war is a path to economic prosperity.

Awesome, you're teaching the right stuff.