EU Torn Between Protectionism and Permeability

in #hive-15032911 days ago

Europe is a funny space, and I say this being an European. On one end, the EU has always been quite keen on setting regulations and protectionist measures for everything, on the other end, they've taken in massive numbers of immigrants from outside Europe having different strong cultures, became reliant on a single major source of gas and oil producer, and embraced the woke movement (its latest forms) probably more than the initiators of that movement itself (some, to this day). And we wonder why the Europeans have kind of had enough...

Among the protectionist measures, there are a few I actually really like: imposing food chain standards (for example, on the level of nitrites that can be used, not allowing unsafe pesticides, etc.). I also like that you can't smoke inside buildings in the EU, unless there is a separate room for smokers. It's one of the things I dislike as I cross the Serbian border in their buildings. I also like that very old polluting vehicles (you know, the kind that are surrounded by a cloud of smoke when the engine runs) can't be seen very often on our roads. There are probably others that don't come to my mind now.


AI-generated image.

To return to things I want to talk about...

The EU already over-regulated crypto through MiCA. Maybe they meant well, applying the same principles of protectionism. But then, why didn't they apply the same principles when it comes to immigration, to becoming depended on Russia for gas, or to being invaded by this woke movement to the point statues were taken down or vandalized, books were burned and so on? Seems like protectionism only was applied occasionally, not consistently. So, they didn't even hold the same line on this.

Coming back to crypto, obviously MiCA doesn't help European companies compete, especially when outside EU there are jurisdictions that regard crypto positively, as it is now in the US.

And now the AI. The EU has already passed the AI Act, which from my understand will start taking effect from next year, in phases.

To be honest, I think the AI can be much more dangerous than crypto ever was or will be (unless linked to AI directly), if left without any checks. But it's a race... And we know in a race, everyone acts first and worry about consequences later or when sentiment shifts. For the time being, the AI is regarded quite positively, because it is still not advanced enough and is still kept under tight control. While I am interested in this field and want to see how it evolves and where it might go before it gets there, I do understand the risks quite well.

These days there is the AI Summit in Paris. Macron says the EU might relax regulations for AI. They might, because France has a horse in the race, and Macron says over 100bn Euros from the private sector would be invested in the French AI field. If the amount is real, comes soon and not over a long period of time, and with the example DeepSeek provided, it can be a way for Europe, through France (and maybe others too), to matter in this race. After all, the Chinese started late too... The problem the European AI companies have is where would they get the high-end chips or the data to compete from? The EU doesn't have any major chip producer or a major social media platform.

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I don't think it's too late for the companies. Deepseek proved what they could do when they used data collected from the existing models. It does require some creativity and that would require some effort. AI is kind of crazy, and I honestly don't know how things will move with it becoming more common.

I'm sure it isn't late for specialized models. For generalized models, the battle at the top is very tough. Training on other models' data introduces another level of approximation, because it introduces those models hallucinations as facts, and then, your own model hallucinates too. So, you might have hallucinations on top of hallucinations. But the bigger limitations are the costs and availability of chips and inference (the process of producing an answer given a prompt).

Good enforcement can build better society. Those perfectionist rules are meant for good

They also hinder progress, it's been said. And it is true, when there are many regulations, progress happens slower or moves to other places. At the same time, without any guardrails, progress can lead to abominations. So, it's a fine line that needs to be kept in balance, in my opinion.

I personally like those protectionist measures, they could make a safe environment. And the EU has a stronger enforcement agencies than these our corrupt African system

Some are good. Sometimes they are good. The problem is both inside and outside companies are struggling complying with many of the protectionist measures. I wouldn't worry much about outside companies, if there were EU companies doing the same thing too, but there aren't, in many cases.

Sure, if we compare the EU with Africa, probably the EU is doing better in most areas. Probably except demographics, which tends to be a very important thing.


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