Why was 2021 a terrible bull run year?

in #hive-167922yesterday


In October 2021, I decided to diversify into Splinterlands by investing some cash; I could have done this sooner, but I did not consider myself to be a gamer; I had every opportunity to invest in the game, as I had already created my account in 2019, but I didn't.

The buzz grew stronger in 2021, but I still did not play, and I had to eventually succumb to investing in 2021, primarily because I had gotten to the point where I could afford to play. It was not like I could not put down $100 in 2020 and start playing; I could.

I knew there were financial incentives for playing, but I could not see myself investing in a game that would require me to spend weeks, if not months, learning how to play.

100 or 200$ was a lot of money for me in 2019, and even though I could still afford it, the idea of learning to play to earn made me very lazy, but as soon as I could afford to play in 2021, I entered, and because it was the bull run, most people could afford to lose without immediate financial consequences, and that included me.

One of the most difficult aspects of being in a bull run is being able to afford financial stupidity.

Affordable Stupidity

I am not talking about Splinterlands here (though Splinterlands has been an incredible experience for me). I am talking about all the bad decisions we make in a bull run simply because we can afford them. It is like licking a frozen knife; you get a freezing sensation on your tongue, and even if you start bleeding, the ice relieves the pain.

For me, a lot of people experimented with DeFi via CUBFINANCE on Leofinance; most of the reasons we participated were not because it was the best thing since toast bread; rather, we could afford to take the risk. Many people made thousands of dollars in profit in 2021.

So spending $300 did not seem like a big deal, but all that money we gambled on in 2021 could have helped us buy cheap coins in 2024, but most people did not manage their gains properly, including myself. Although I was not entirely wasteful in 2021.

Sure, I wasted a few hundred dollars here and there, but they are not as significant as someone who spent thousands of dollars on psyberx and lost it all. It was incredibly brutal.

I was talking with someone today about some of the stuffs I bought during the 2021 bull run. Splinterlands was on top. I bought a single BCX of Djinn Oshannus for $39. It was worth a lot of money to even have it at max level.

However, I did not immediately begin spending on splinterlands because I wanted to make a profit; rather, I saw it as a portfolio diversification that could be profitable in the long run, similar to the one we expect in 2025. So I prepared for the next run; the only thing I did not expect was a 90% drop in my portfolio. In fact, I did not know much in 2021, which is why it was arguably the worst bull run.

There was a lot of money to be made, but I miscalculated significantly. 2017 felt better; I did not make a lot of money, but I did not regret anything. It was my first time in crypto, so I gave myself a pass, but 2021 was a complete disaster.

Back to splinterlands, I still didn't regret investing in the game, I only regretted buying at the top. I was talking to someone about the massive dip in the game, and they told me they actually bought when prices were low and hence they're actually still in profit despite all the dip.

It only confirms one more lesson I've added to my arsenal. No one should be buying at the top during a bull run, no matter how tempting it is.

TLDR

You just read it in the last paragraph; don't be tempted to buy anything at the top during a bull run year. In fact, no one should buy anything during a bull market year except stablecoins.

In Conclusion

In reality, I believe everyone has less than two months to buy anything or complete their purchases. Buying a mooning asset is for no coiners and retail. I'll encourage you to take that bold step and begin to buy before the end of December. You see that eth that refuses to go up, buy it without looking back.

As for the Hive, buy it without looking back, as if there is no tomorrow***. To give you some slack, Q1 2025 may only be the beginning, so you can still purchase Hive. However, if it is later than February/March 2025, you will have failed as a person. May the Grace of the Lord Jesus Christ be with you



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!LOLZ

One thing I have learned is never buy in chasing the market, it's a sure way to lose. It you didn't buy in early enough buying late is a gamble, it happened to me a couple time then as well. I had some big wins, and some big losses as well. Hopefully Q1 2025 will be a nice, big payoff, I think we both could use it!

I think I had big wins too, only that I didn't actually position myself properly, if I had, I'd actually be buying cheap tokens at the moment, but life happens. Well at this point, we're hoping and wishing that the pump that's coming will be big

Agree with you on this one. Positioning should have been done already, things are starting to get a lot more expensive. However...we do need people to sell our overpriced stuff to ;)

Indeed, but I think this is how the bull market remains relevant. It makes people actually greedy. People want to buy assets that are mooning and don't want to buy the ones that are dipping.

We all make bad choices and I agree that buying at the top sucks. It's better to set up a plan and slowly get in when you feel things are comfortable rather than eat into emotions. I was spending my HBD on cards near the top too so I can't say that went well for me, but the stuff I bought before the bull market means that I am still profitable.

Yes, we need to learn as many lessons as possible and this is one of it. Buying with stables which was converted from taking profits might not be so bad. Hopefully we don't make as many mistakes this time around