Two days ago war broke out between Israel and The Hamas. Most will say it's not the first time that tensions and exchanges of missile happens between the two but not at this skale maybe one or two times things were that bad in the region. But this is a conflict that goes back to the creation of the State of Israel so let me make a quick explanation of why this is happening and then i will also comment on the present events.
The roots of the conflict can be traced back to the end of World War I when the League of Nations granted Britain the mandate to govern Palestine. This led to Jewish immigration to the region, resulting in demographic changes and tensions between Jewish and Arab communities. In 1947, the United Nations proposed a partition plan to divide Palestine into separate Jewish and Arab states. The plan was accepted by Jewish leaders but rejected by Arab leaders, leading to violence. Soon enough war broke out and from that day and essentially never stopped.
1948 Arab-Israeli War (War of Independence): This war occurred following the declaration of the State of Israel in 1948. Arab states, including Egypt, Jordan, and Syria, invaded to prevent the establishment of Israel. The war resulted in an armistice, with Israel gaining more territory than initially allotted by the UN partition plan.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1948_Arab%E2%80%93Israeli_War
1956 Suez Crisis (Sinai War): Israel, along with France and the UK, invaded Egypt to regain control of the Suez Canal and weaken Egyptian President Nasser. Pressure from the United States and the Soviet Union led to a ceasefire and withdrawal.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Suez_Crisis
1967 Six-Day War: Israel launched a pre-emptive strike against Egypt, Syria, and Jordan, resulting in a swift victory. Israel captured the Sinai Peninsula, Gaza Strip, West Bank, and Golan Heights. This war significantly altered the regional balance of power and introduced the issue of occupied territories.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Six-Day_War
1973 Yom Kippur War: Egypt and Syria launched a surprise attack on Israel during Yom Kippur, aiming to reclaim lost territory. The war ended in a ceasefire but led to diplomatic initiatives like the Camp David Accords.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yom_Kippur_War
First Intifada (1987-1993): Palestinian protests and uprisings against Israeli rule in the occupied territories marked this period. It eventually led to the Oslo Accords and the establishment of the Palestinian Authority.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/First_Intifada
Second Intifada (2000-2005): A more violent uprising with suicide bombings and Israeli military responses characterized this period, resulting in significant casualties on both sides.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Second_Intifada
Gaza Conflicts (2008-2009, 2012, 2014): Israel engaged in three military operations in Gaza due to rocket attacks and tensions with Hamas, which governs Gaza. These conflicts resulted in significant casualties and damage.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gaza%E2%80%93Israel_conflict
The reason behind all of this ?
Settlements: Israel's construction of settlements in the West Bank is a major point of contention. Palestinians view these settlements as illegal and an obstacle to peace.
Status of Jerusalem: Both Israelis and Palestinians claim Jerusalem as their capital, leading to ongoing disputes and tensions.
Right of Return: Palestinian refugees and their descendants seek the right to return to their pre-1948 homes, a demand Israel has consistently rejected.
Gaza Blockade: The blockade of Gaza by Israel, in cooperation with Egypt, has created dire humanitarian conditions and increased tensions.
So as you can all imagine after reading all this it was not a matter of if a war broke out but when the war will brake out and who will be the one to initiate it .
On one hand we have the state of Israel a very strong nation that despite being a state for 75 years it's military power is that of a Super power without nuclear weapons , with strong allies and deep pockets
On the other hand we the Palestinian people and most on this case the Palestinians living in the Gaza strip and the rule of a terrorist organization called Hamas The Strip is 41 km long, from 6 to 12 km wide, and has a total area of 365 km2 and in it there are around 2 million Palestinian living one on top of the other.
So all this makes a really bad cocktail that is constantly exploding costing the lives of hundreds of people each time.
Why this time is different?
First of all Israel has a semi far right government and many inside the government want to see the Palestinians exterminated and them being the Victors but if they did that every nation in the world will turn against them and they will eventually loose because they are practically alone in the area and if they loose the support of the US and Nato they won't last for long.
A strange Attack?
The attack Hamas initiated is really strange to me because it was well organized with heavy weaponry . Yesterday the through more than 7000 missiles , the had boats trying to attack from water , ground forces crossing some of the best fortified boarders of the world and even sending man through the air . All that tells me that this was being planned for months and the logistics for that operation were really complex.
At the same time Israel has the best intelligence network in the world ( Mossad ) and they are watching the Gaza strip with every means they have and yet they new nothing not even a warning that they might attack at one point ? I find it very strange because of the magnitude and complexity of the operation and it makes me wander that they might knew but let it happen for two reasons
The government is in the midst of big internal fight because of some reforms they are trying to do about the judicial system they practically want to limit it's power because there is corruption inside the government.
The second is to win the favor of the world and drive the Palestinians out.
My fears are that we might see other power get involved like the Hezbollah and the already involved behind the scenes Iran .
I believe Egypt will not get involved and the big question is Saudi Arabia.
