I have come to a similar realization here:
https://peakd.com/hive-167922/@tobetada/crypto-analysis-or-2nd-market-insight
We basically already had the 10x for this bull cycle and were trading sideways for the last year basically
A less volatile market would also fit the idea that we will eventually settle around the doubling curve (although it obviously won't go up forever)
Oh and the summer 2022 rally is still on the table. But it will probably only be around 100k or so